Tropical Storm Hone Wind Speed Probabilities


000
FOPA11 PHFO 261438
PWSCP1

TROPICAL STORM HONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17             
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012024         
1500 UTC MON AUG 26 2024                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                                         

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

20N 160W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

BUOY 51003     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

22N 164W       34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NECKER         34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 165W       34  3  69(72)   3(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
20N 165W       50  X  16(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
20N 165W       64  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 170W       34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)  25(29)   7(36)   X(36)   X(36)
20N 170W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
20N 170W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

20N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER R BALLARD                                                

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION


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