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Tropical Storm Francine Public Advisory

NHC

 

359

WTNT31 KNHC 100848

TCPAT1

BULLETIN

Tropical Storm Francine Advisory Number 7

National Weather Service National Hurricane Center Miami Florida AL062024

4:00 A.M. Central Daylight Time Tue Sep 10 2024

  • FRANCINE LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE TODAY

SUMMARY OF 4:00 A.M. Central Daylight Time 09:00 Coordinated Universal Time INFORMATION
LOCATION 24.4 North 96.2 West
ABOUT 120 Miles, 195 Kilometers SSE OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
ABOUT 415 Miles, 665 Kilometers SSW OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 Miles Per Hour 100 Kilometers Per Hour
PRESENT MOVEMENT NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 Miles Per Hour 7 Kilometers Per Hour
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB 29.30 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for

  • High Island Texas to the Mouth of the Mississippi River Louisiana
  •  Vermilion Bay A Hurricane Warning is in effect for
  • The Louisiana coast from Sabine Pass eastward to Morgan City

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for

  • Mouth of the Mississippi River Louisiana to the Mississippi/Alabama Border
  • Lake Maurepas
  • Lake Pontchartrain

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for

  • The Louisiana coast from Morgan City eastward to Grand Isle

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for

  • Morgan City to Grand Isle
  • High Island to Sabine Pass
  • Mouth of the Rio Grande to Port Mansfield
  • Louisianna Pesca Mexico to the Mouth of the Rio Grande

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for

  • Barra del Tordo to La Pesca Mexico
  • Port Mansfield to High Island Texas
  • East of Grand Isle Louisiana to Mouth of the Pearl River, including metropolitan New Orleans
  • Lake Pontchartrain
  • Lake Maurepas
  1. A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations.
  2. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
  3. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.
  4. This is a life-threatening situation.
  5. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
  6. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials.
  7. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area.
  8. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
  9. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
  10. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area.
  11. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
  12. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
  13. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
  14. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.
  15. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

  • At 4:00 A.M. Central Daylight Time (09:00 Coordinated Universal Time), the center of Tropical Storm Francine was located near latitude 24.4 North, longitude 96.2 West.
  • Francine is moving toward the north-northwest near 5 Miles Per Hour (7 Kilometers Per Hour).
  • A slow north-northwest motion is expected through this morning, followed by a turn to the northeast with an increase in forward speed.
  • On the forecast track, Francine is anticipated to be just offshore of the coasts of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas through today, and make landfall in Louisiana on Wednesday.
  • Maximum sustained winds are near 65 Miles Per Hour (100 Kilometers Per Hour) with higher gusts.
  • Francine will likely become a hurricane today, with significant strengthening expected before it reaches the coast.
  • Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 Kilometers) from the center.
  • The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Key messages for Tropical Storm Francine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC.

WIND:

  • Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area on Wednesday.
  • Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area on Wednesday, with tropical storm conditions expected by Wednesday morning within the warning areas.
  • Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in Mexico and south Texas through this afternoon.
  • Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area along the northeastern coast of Mexico for the next several hours.
  • Tropical storm conditions are also possible along portions of the Texas coast in the watch area today and tonight, and are possible in the watch area in eastern Louisiana on Wednesday.

RAINFALL:

  • Francine is expected to bring storm total rainfall of 4 to 8 inches, with local amounts to 12 inches across much of Louisiana and Mississippi through Friday morning.
  • This rainfall could lead to considerable flash and urban flooding.
  • For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Francine, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at

hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf

  • and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at

hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?ero

STORM SURGE:

  • The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.
  • The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide
    • Cameron, Louisianna to Port Fourchon, Louisianna 5 to 10 feet
    • Vermilion Bay 5 to 10 feet
    • Port Fourchon, Louisianna to Mouth of the Mississippi River, Louisianna 4 to 7 feet
    • High Island, Texas to Cameron, Louisianna 3 to 5 feet
    • Mouth of the Mississippi River, Louisianna to MS/AL Border 2 to 4 feet
    • Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas 2 to 4 feet
    • Mouth of the Rio Grande, Texas to High Island, Texas 1 to 3 feet
    • Galveston Bay 1 to 3 feet
    • MS/AL Border to AL/Florida Border 1 to 3 feet

 

  • The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.
  • Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.
  • Storm surge is not expected to pose a threat to the risk reduction system levees.
  • However, there may be some overtopping of local levees.
  • For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.
  • Minor coastal flooding is possible along the coast of Mexico in areas of onshore winds.
  • For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at

hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?peakSurge

TORNADOES:

  • A few tornadoes are possible Wednesday morning through Wednesday night over near-coastal areas of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle.

SURF:

  • Swells generated by Francine are affecting portions of the coast of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas.
  • These swells are expected to spread across the northwestern and northern Gulf of Mexico coastline during the next day or so.
  • These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
  • Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY

Next intermediate advisory at 7:00 A.M. Central Daylight Time.
Next complete advisory at 10:00 A.M. Central Daylight Time.

$$
Forecaster Pasch





Originally Posted at:

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER

At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION




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                        Chinese Jets Tail US Spy Plane While Making 1st Pass Over Taiwan Strait In 5 Months                        

                            

                            

                                

                                    Chinese Jets Tail US Spy Plane While Making 1st Pass Over Taiwan Strait In 5 Months
                                

                            

                            

                                
Chinese Jets Tail US Spy Plane While Making 1st Pass Over Taiwan Strait In 5 Months




China says it sent warplanes to monitor and mirror a US military reconnaissance plane as it flew over the contested Taiwan Strait on Tuesday, according to statements of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA).


The PLA’s Eastern Theater Command identified the aircraft as a US Navy P-8A Poseidon patrol plane. A statement said the PLA “organized warplanes to tail and monitor the U.S. aircraft’s flight and handled it in accordance with the law.”




US Navy file image: P-8A Poseidon, capable of hunting submarines




“Theater command troops will remain on constant high alert and resolutely safeguard national sovereignty and security as well as regional peace and stability,” the statement added.


The US Navy’s 7th Fleet later confirmed, “The aircraft’s transit of the Taiwan Strait demonstrates the United States’ commitment to a free and open Indo-Pacific.” It asserted in response to Beijing’s condemnation: “The United States military flies, sails and operates anywhere international law allows.”


“The Poseidon on Tuesday encountered foreign military forces, but the flight was not affected,” the US Navy indicated. “All interactions with foreign military forces during the transit were consistent with international norms and did not impact the operation,” the statement noted.


Tuesday’s fly through marked the US Navy’s first aerial transit of the vital strait in five months. Days prior, the German frigate Baden-Wuerttemberg and support ship Frankfurt am Main made their own transit.


The German pass-through was much rarer, a first in over two decades, and suggests deepening NATO forces’ involvement in the Taiwan issue.


This past summer, Taiwan’s foreign ministry had stated that it “welcomes NATO’s continuous increase in attention to peace and stability in the Indo-Pacific region in recent years, and its active strengthening of exchanges and interactions with countries in the Indo-Pacific region.”





Median line incursions by Chinese military assets have seen an uptick ever since the election victory last January of new Taiwan President Lai Ching-te, which Beijing has called a ‘separatist’. China’s Foreign Ministry has repeatedly vowed that “The determination of China to safeguard its sovereignty and territorial integrity remains unrelenting.”




      Tyler Durden

Wed, 09/18/2024 – 21:20

                            

                            

                                
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                        U.S. says thwarted Chinese 'state-sponsored' cyber attack                        

                            

                            

                                

                                    U.S. says thwarted Chinese ‘state-sponsored’ cyber attack
                                

                            

                            

                                


The US Justice Department on Wednesday said it had neutralized a cyber-attack network that affected 200,000 devices worldwide, alleging it was run by hackers backed by the Chinese government. The malware infected a wide range of consumer devices, including routers, cameras, digital video recorders and network-attached storage devices, according to a US statement, with the […]


The post U.S. says thwarted Chinese ‘state-sponsored’ cyber attack appeared first on Insider Paper.

                            

                            

                                
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                                    Nine US Senators Launch Inquiry Into Kamala Harris’ Failure As ‘Broadband Czar’
                                

                            

                            

                                
Nine US Senators Launch Inquiry Into Kamala Harris’ Failure As ‘Broadband Czar’




FCC Commissioner Brendan Carr criticized the Biden-Harris administration, pointing out that their $42.45 billion program to bring high-speed internet to rural America has yet to connect a single person. He said it had been 1,038 days, and “not a single person has been connected” since the program debuted.





Carr on X pushed out a post in the early afternoon of Wednesday featuring a new letter from nine US senators, including Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.) and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), stressing concern about VP Harris’ time as ‘broadband czar’ entirely mismanaged the $42.45 billion program to connect rural America. Considering that not a single home in rural America has been connected, the senators warned that the failures are piling up for VP Harris, citing her failure as ‘border czar.’




Dear Vice President Harris:


We are writing to express serious concerns regarding your role as the Biden-Harris administration’s “broadband czar” and the mismanagement of federal broadband initiatives under your leadership. It appears that your performance as “broadband czar” has mirrored your performance as “border czar,” marked by poor management and a lack of effectiveness despite significant federal broadband investments and your promises to deliver broadband to rural areas.


As you are aware, Congress, through the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, provided the National Telecommunications and Information Administration with $42.45 billion for the Broadband, Equity, Access, and Deployment (BEAD) program. These funds are intended to provide broadband access to unserved communities, particularly those in rural areas.


In 2021, you were specifically tasked by President Biden to lead the administration’s efforts to expand broadband services to unserved Americans. And at the time, you stated, “we can bring broadband to rural America today.” Despite your assurances over three years ago, rural and unserved communities continue to wait for the connectivity they were promised. Under your leadership, not a single person has been connected to the internet using the $42.45 billion allocated for the BEAD program. Indeed, Politico recently reported on “the messy, delayed rollout of” this program.


Instead of focusing on delivering broadband services to unserved areas, your administration has used the BEAD program to add partisan, extralegal requirements that were never envisioned by Congress and have obstructed broadband deployment. By imposing burdensome climate change mandates on infrastructure projects, prioritizing government-owned networks over private investment, mandating the use of unionized labor in states, and seeking to regulate broadband rates, your administration has caused unnecessary delays leaving millions of Americans unconnected.


The administration’s lack of focus on truly connecting the unconnected has failed the American people and represents a gross misuse of limited taxpayer dollars. The American public deserves better.







‘All-In’ podcast host Jason Calacanis recently said, “Our government is corrupt and stealing our money. United airlines just put Starlink on 1,000+ planes, but the FCC claims we need to spend 5-10k per rural home for wired connections?!? These homes are putting starlink in on their nickel while they wait for a cable modem in 10 years — wtf??? Pure corruption or insane stupidity — you decide!”





Carr recently chimed in and said Elon Musk’s Starlink offered the FCC a secured commitment of $1,300 per household for 640,000 rural locations. He said in 2023, the federal government rejected Starlink and decided to spend $100,000 per location. 





Musk said Wednesday that the FCC rejected Starlink because of “lawfare.” 





Here’s what X users are saying about an inefficient and what appears to be a ‘corruption’ within the Biden-Harris admin:








Good question.





* * *




      Tyler Durden

Wed, 09/18/2024 – 18:00

                            

                            

                                
zerohedge
                            

                        

                    

                                    

                        

                        Fears of all-out war as new Lebanon device blasts kill 14, wound 450                        

                            

                            

                                

                                    Fears of all-out war as new Lebanon device blasts kill 14, wound 450
                                

                            

                            

                                


A second wave of device explosions killed 20 people and wounded more than 450 others on Wednesday in Hezbollah strongholds in Lebanon, officials said, stoking fears of an all-out war with Israel. A source close to Hezbollah said walkie-talkies used by its members blew up in its Beirut stronghold, with state media reporting similar blasts […]


The post Fears of all-out war as new Lebanon device blasts kill 20, wound 450 appeared first on Insider Paper.

                            

                            

                                
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