929 WTNT21 KNHC 282040 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112024 2100 UTC SAT SEP 28 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 46.7W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 20SE 0SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 30SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 46.7W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 46.3W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.9N 47.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.7N 48.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.3N 49.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 22.9N 49.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.5N 49.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 24.3N 49.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 46.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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