000 WTNT22 KNHC 020843 TCMAT2 HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 0900 UTC WED OCT 02 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 42.1W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT.......170NE 170SE 70SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 90SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 42.1W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 41.7W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.4N 43.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 15SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.5N 44.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.7N 46.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.9N 47.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 23.4N 49.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.3N 50.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...190NE 180SE 110SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 30.8N 50.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 100NW. 34 KT...210NE 210SE 140SW 170NW. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 37.4N 44.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 200SW 180NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 42.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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