000 WTNT22 KNHC 030237 TCMAT2 HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 0300 UTC THU OCT 03 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 44.5W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT.......190NE 190SE 80SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 240SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 44.5W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 44.2W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.4N 45.6W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...190NE 190SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.7N 47.1W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 90SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 23.1N 48.7W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 24.8N 49.9W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 27.0N 50.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 30.0N 50.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...190NE 190SE 120SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 36.8N 45.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...220NE 230SE 170SW 150NW. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 43.9N 35.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT...260NE 280SE 210SW 230NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 44.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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