Tropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT23 KNHC 030236
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
0300 UTC THU OCT 03 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N  30.1W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N  30.1W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N  29.8W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 10.2N  30.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 10.2N  31.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 10.4N  33.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 10.8N  34.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 11.4N  35.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 12.2N  37.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 14.3N  39.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 17.0N  42.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 110NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.4N  30.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/CANGIALOSI


Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION


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