000 WTNT22 KNHC 032038 TCMAT2 HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 2100 UTC THU OCT 03 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 46.7W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......160NE 150SE 80SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 330SE 270SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 46.7W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 46.3W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.1N 47.8W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 23.7N 49.1W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.7N 50.1W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.4N 50.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...190NE 180SE 110SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 31.7N 49.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 220SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 35.2N 46.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...230NE 260SE 170SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 42.1N 36.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...130NE 140SE 120SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 260SE 220SW 190NW. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 46.4N 23.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 90NW. 34 KT...280NE 240SE 220SW 270NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 46.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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