000 WTNT23 KNHC 030838 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 0900 UTC THU OCT 03 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 30.5W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 30.5W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 30.2W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 10.1N 31.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 10.2N 32.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 10.5N 33.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 11.1N 35.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 11.8N 36.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 12.7N 37.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 15.3N 40.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 100NW. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 18.0N 44.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 110NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.3N 30.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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