000 WTNT22 KNHC 042044 TCMAT2 HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 2100 UTC FRI OCT 04 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 49.4W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 943 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT.......190NE 170SE 120SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..390NE 330SE 300SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 49.4W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 49.1W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.5N 50.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...190NE 170SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.5N 50.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 50SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...190NE 180SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 32.0N 49.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 65NE 55SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...190NE 190SE 120SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 35.6N 46.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 65NE 65SE 40SW 45NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 210SE 140SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 39.1N 42.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...220NE 240SE 170SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 42.0N 36.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT...130NE 140SE 100SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 190SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 45.0N 19.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 110SE 80SW 50NW. 34 KT...230NE 280SE 210SW 180NW. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 49.5N 3.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...280NE 290SE 240SW 240NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 49.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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