Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory


107 
WTNT23 KNHC 050836
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
0900 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N  34.8W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  75SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N  34.8W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N  34.5W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 11.2N  35.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 12.1N  36.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   5SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 13.2N  38.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.6N  39.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.9N  41.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.4N  43.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 20.2N  46.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 22.3N  49.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N  34.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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