Hurricane Milton Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT24 KNHC 070241
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142024
0300 UTC MON OCT 07 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  93.1W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 100 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  93.1W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  93.4W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 22.2N  91.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  20SE  20SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 22.3N  90.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  90SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.9N  88.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.2N  86.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.8N  84.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 27.5N  82.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 29.6N  77.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  40SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT...270NE 160SE 160SW 220NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 31.0N  71.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...110NE  20SE 100SW  80NW.
34 KT...210NE  90SE 210SW 130NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N  93.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 07/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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