Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT23 KNHC 080238
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
0300 UTC TUE OCT 08 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  43.5W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  40SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE 105SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  43.5W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  43.0W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.6N  44.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 21.0N  46.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.2N  47.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.0N  48.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.8N  49.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 25.0N  50.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 28.0N  48.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 32.0N  43.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N  43.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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