Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT23 KNHC 070836
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
0900 UTC MON OCT 07 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  40.4W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE 120SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  40.4W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  40.0W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.6N  41.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.1N  43.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.6N  45.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.9N  46.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.7N  47.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 22.4N  48.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 23.9N  50.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 25.8N  49.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N  40.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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