Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory


274 
WTNT23 KNHC 092032
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
2100 UTC WED OCT 09 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  49.0W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  25SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  49.0W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  48.8W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 22.9N  49.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 23.8N  50.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 25.3N  50.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.2N  49.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.7N  47.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  50SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 31.9N  43.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  90SE  60SW  20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 35.4N  33.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  80SE  60SW  30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 36.5N  25.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N  49.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN



Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION


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