JACQUELINE TOBOROFF: NY shows up for Trump


On October 27, 2024, Trump held an historic event at Madison Square Garden. It was a sold out crowd in an arena which seats about 19,500 people. Approximately 200,000 tried getting in to hear the ultimate fighter speak.

I was one of those people.

New Yorkers, as far as the eyes could see, were decked out in MAGA gear, waving Trump flags, and holding signs that read, “New York Is Trump Country.” No one better than New Yorkers understands what’s at stake. Life in New York City is insufferable under the Democrat boot. New Yorkers see first hand how the world’s capital of innovation, industry, fashion, competition, nightlife and hospitality, has been reduced because of government overreach, bureaucratic red-tape, ideological hazards, and hostility towards the working class.

Nearly every bad idea plaguing the city and state takes root in New York City’s City Hall and Legislative body in Albany.

Trump understands the damage that New Yorkers have suffered under Democrats. The guy from Queens is bonded to New Yorkers through a shared ironclad willpower and determination to get back up and fight on, no matter what. New Yorkers are molded in toughness of spirit and have true territorial pride, no matter how bad it has gotten. Trump and the New Yorkers who came to see him had a reunion and there was an exchange.

Years of radical one-party Democrat governance has resulted in crime spikes, failing schools, corruption, debt, illegal immigrants, transnational criminal gangs, and regular Islamic “protests.” Somehow, worse than all of this is the inability for New Yorkers to openly discuss the transformation, because true punishment ensues. Freedom of speech comes at a high price for those at ground zero of liberal lunacy.

Trump’s choice of “The Garden” or “MSG,” as New Yorkers call it, nine days before the election, felt like the cavalry had arrived. The cavalry was largely New Yorkers who can no longer stomach the soul-crushing policies, one after another, by way of local elected officials.

Radio host Sid Rosenberg, one of the guest speakers opening for Trump, was blunt; “Look at my city! Look at my city! You can’t walk out past about 10pm at night here. If you’re a pretty woman… you’re punched across the face just for walking down the street. Who did that? Bill de Blasio, Eric Adams, sh***y Democrat mayors, Andrew Cuomo, Kathy Hochul, sh**y Democrat governors.”

Tens of thousands of warriors were on hand, spanning several blocks. Patriots from myriad religious faiths, races, genders, and ages were represented. For a city and state with a rough reputation, there was no pushing or fighting in line. If there was, it would have dominated the news cycle. People were talking about the energy – it was palpable. A gigantic billboard flashed an image of Trump with text reading, “Dream Big Again.”

Under Democrat rule, the American dream has been crushed. Suspended from  a skyscraper, signaling to the crowd, it felt like divine intervention.

Tucker Carlson, another guest speaker opening for Trump, said, “The reason why people are here today and love Trump is because he has liberated us. In the deepest and truest sense. And the liberation he has brought to us is the liberation from the obligation to tell lies. Donald Trump has made it possible for the rest of us to tell the truth. About the world around us.”

The volume of New Yorkers in MAGA gear is a testament to the liberation afoot. It no longer feels like those who want to Make America Great Again need to hide or justify. The cultural implications of holding a Trump rally at MSG are tremendous. The people who should feel deeply embarrassed and ashamed are Democrat voters and Harris supporters.

Vivek Ramaswamy, also a guest speaker, said, “I had a friend of mine, smart guy, he’s a billionaire, texted me this morning and he said, ‘Why the hell are you guys wasting your time in NYC instead of going to a swing state?’ You want to know what I told him? I said, ‘Welcome to 2024 and New York is a swing state.’”

New Yorkers are begging for Trump. Wouldn’t it be something if New York’s 28 Electoral votes went to Trump? It would be the ultimate double barrel to the coastal elites, government lifers, and foreign bad actors.

Believe your eyes. If this is happening in New York City. This is happening.
This Story originally came from humanevents.com

 


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Trump Appointments Signal Aim To Boost US Energy Investment And Production

Trump Appointments Signal Aim To Boost US Energy Investment And Production

By Ed Crooks of Wood Mackenzie

“Personnel is policy.” That aphorism about the realities of US presidential government was coined by Scot Faulkner, who was director of personnel for Ronald Reagan’s triumphant election campaign in 1980. What he meant was that, while US presidents can do almost anything, they can’t do everything. The day-to-day business of the administration is carried on by appointed officials. And if presidents want to make real progress towards their policy objectives, they need to make sure that their officials are as committed to those goals as they are.

That is why President-elect Donald Trump’s first two picks to be his senior energy officials are particularly significant. There is still a great deal of uncertainty around exactly how energy policy will play out in his second administration. But the announcements he has made give a clear sense of the direction he wants to set and the objectives he wants to achieve during his four-year term.

Last week, President-elect Trump named Chris Wright, the chief executive of oilfield services company Liberty Energy, to be his energy secretary, and Doug Burgum, governor of North Dakota, to be the interior secretary and head of a new National Energy Council at the White House.

The common thread in the thinking on energy expressed by both Wright and Burgum is that they want to boost production of all types of energy, including fossil fuels. They do not deny that human-caused climate change is a real threat that needs to be addressed. But they argue that there are other priorities for policy that are more important and more urgent, and that oil and gas can continue to play the central role in the global energy system into the indefinite future.

If they get to take the reins of energy policy-making under the Trump administration, they will undoubtedly aim to help the oil and gas industry in every way possible. But several low-carbon sectors could also benefit, or at least not be hit as hard as they might have feared.

Meet Chris Wright and Governor Doug Burgum

Announcing their nominations, President-elect Trump said that Wright and Burgum would be working on cutting red tape, enhancing private sector investment and focusing on innovation, with the aim of boosting energy production to cut prices and “win the AI arms race with China (and others)”.

Chris Wright has become one of the highest-profile CEOs in the industry thanks to his tireless advocacy for American energy in general, and oil and gas in particular. He has made his case in a variety of public forums, including YouTube videos and in a 180-page report titled ‘Bettering human lives’.

That report makes its argument in 10 key points, which include: “Global demand for oil, natural gas, and coal are all at record levels and rising — no energy transition has begun” and “Zero Energy Poverty by 2050 is a superior goal compared to Net Zero [emissions] 2050.”

Wright summarises his position on climate change like this:

“Climate change is a real and global challenge that we should and can address. However, representing it as the most urgent threat to humanity today displaces concerns about more pressing threats of malnutrition, access to clean water, air pollution, endemic diseases, and human rights, among others.”

Tackling those other more pressing problems, he argues, would be helped by the strongest possible growth in US oil and gas production. This would displace supplies from authoritarian regimes and geopolitical rivals of the US and substitute for dirtier fuels, including coal and traditional biomass.

On policy, Wright warns that the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), which extended and expanded tax credits for a range of low-carbon energy technologies, “appears poised to drive the U.S. electricity grid along the European path [to] higher prices and more grid stability problems”.

He is not opposed to all forms of low-carbon energy, but says the world needs a massive increase in research and innovation, as opposed to subsidies for existing technologies. His company has worked on low-carbon energy sources, including advanced geothermal, small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs) and sodium-ion batteries. The world needs more and better energy, which means contributions from “all viable energy technologies,” Wright says.

One of the peculiarities of the US system of government is that the energy secretary – the job that Chris Wright is being proposed for – does not have primary responsibility for many of the decisions most relevant to the energy industry. A US energy secretary does have responsibility for overseeing energy policy, but the most vital part of the job relates to nuclear weapons. The secretary is tasked with “maintaining a safe, secure and effective nuclear deterrent” for the US, and reducing the threat of nuclear proliferation.

Many of the key decisions related to energy, such as oil and gas leasing programmes, lie with the Department of the Interior. So the proposal that Governor Burgum of North Dakota should head that department, as well as the new White House energy council, is also highly significant for the industry.

Governor Burgum, like Wright, has a record of recognising the need to act on climate change while also aiming to boost oil and gas production. In 2021, he set a goal of reaching net zero emissions for North Dakota – described as “carbon neutral status” – by 2030. That is a much more ambitious schedule than California’s – the Golden State is aiming for net zero by 2045.

Another crucial difference is that Governor Burgum has envisaged his state reaching net zero largely through carbon capture and storage (CCS). As he has pointed out, North Dakota hit the “geologic jackpot” in its potential for sub-surface storage of carbon dioxide. Its estimated capacity of 250 billion tons could take all of the US’s carbon dioxide emissions from energy for almost 50 years.

In a sign of North Dakota’s enthusiasm for CCS, the state’s Public Service Commission last week voted unanimously to approve the route permit for Summit Carbon Solutions’ proposed US$8 billion carbon dioxide pipeline system, which would take captured emissions from ethanol plants for storage.

But despite his support for decarbonisation, Governor Burgum has also been a strong critic of the Biden administration’s energy policies. He signed up to a joint statement with other Republican governors in June, arguing that the president’s “rhetorical and regulatory hostility towards traditional energy” was holding back US oil and gas production.

One sector that could be particularly favoured under the new administration is gas-fired power generation. President-elect Trump said in the statement announcing Governor Burgum’s nomination that he wanted to “undo the damage done by the Democrats to our Nation’s Electrical Grid, by dramatically increasing baseload power”. That will certainly mean acting on his pledge to scrap President Biden’s emissions rules for power plants, which could potentially have ended up forcing gas-fired generation to shut down. But he could go further. A national version of the Texas system that subsidises gas-fired power plants is possible.

Wood Mackenzie view

Some of the critical issues for energy policy under the second Trump administration remain highly uncertain. The future of the IRA tax credits for low-carbon energy is likely to be decided by a tight vote in the House of Representatives, given the Republicans’ slender majority there. Energy industry leaders – including Darren Woods, chief executive of ExxonMobil, who last week attended the COP29 climate talks in Azerbaijan – have urged President-elect Trump not to sweep away all of President Biden’s energy policies.

“I don’t think the stops and starts are the right thing for businesses,” Woods told the Wall Street Journal. “It is extremely inefficient.”

But while the prospect of a sharp reversal in policy is a concern, the appointment of two senior officials who have been champions for investment in energy, with a brief to continue that work in the federal government, will be welcomed by many in the industry.

The power and renewables sector is threatened by the potential curtailment or elimination of the production and investment tax credits (PTC and ITC) for wind, solar and storage. But it could benefit from other changes under a Trump administration, including permitting reform and regulatory changes that could make it easier to add new transmission capacity.

Wood Mackenzie’s “severe downside scenario” represents a worst-case outlook, with total installations of wind, solar and storage over the next decade about 30% lower than in our previous base case forecast. But for that to play out, several factors have to turn against the industry, including not only a phase-out of the PTC and ITC, but also increased permitting challenges. If the new administration lives up to its rhetoric about supporting investment in all kinds of energy, permitting and regulation could become easier, not harder.

However, the new administration’s plans raise important questions about the balance of supply and demand for energy, and especially for natural gas. President-elect Trump has promised to end immediately the “pause” on approvals for new LNG export projects, which will add to demand for US gas over time. A surge in gas-fired power generation, which the new administration sees as important for supplying new data centres for AI, would add additional demand pressure.

On the supply side, Wood Mackenzie analysts think government regulations and access to acreage are not the most important issues. US oil and gas production is determined principally by commodity prices, cash flows and corporate capital allocation strategies. The federal government can take actions that will help, including expediting investment in new pipeline infrastructure. But it cannot guarantee that additional production will flow.

Those conditions, with stronger demand but a limited supply response, would be bullish for energy prices. Although President-elect Trump’s stated goal is to drive down energy costs for American consumers, it is possible that his policies could have the opposite effect.

COP29 makes little progress in its first week

The election victory for President-elect Trump, who plans to take the US out of the Paris climate agreement for a second time, cast a shadow over the first week of the COP29 climate talks in Baku, Azerbaijan. There were more signs of disharmony among the assembled nations, with Argentina withdrawing its official delegation, and France’s environment minister choosing not to attend after a diplomatic spat with the hosts Azerbaijan.

Meanwhile, behind the scenes, negotiators are attempting to secure a global agreement on climate finance, which could pledge more than US$1 trillion a year in investment, loans and grants to low- and middle-income countries to support emissions reductions and adaptation to the impacts of climate change. So far, there appears to have been little movement on agreeing a deal.

The conference began with an announcement of significant progress towards finalising the rules for international carbon markets under Article 6 of the Paris agreement. But on that issue, too, much work remains before the market can start working as intended.

One group of leading figures in international climate policy has argued that the entire process of COP negotiations is “no longer fit for purpose”.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 11/21/2024 – 06:30

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