Subtropical Storm Patty Forecast Advisory

000
WTNT22 KNHC 020854
TCMAT2

SUBTROPICAL STORM PATTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172024
0900 UTC SAT NOV 02 2024

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  34.4W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 105 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  60SE 180SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 540SE 600SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  34.4W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.3N  34.7W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 39.1N  31.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  30SE 120SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 38.2N  27.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  70SE  80SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 38.0N  23.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 38.7N  19.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 39.8N  15.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 41.3N  11.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.9N  34.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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