Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen Forecast Advisory Number 2

000
WTNT23 KNHC 040253
TCMAT3

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182024
0300 UTC MON NOV 04 2024

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  76.9W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  76.9W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  76.9W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.2N  76.9W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 16.0N  77.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 17.9N  78.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.8N  80.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.8N  82.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...115NE 100SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.5N  84.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 25.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  60SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 26.5N  89.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  60SW 110NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N  76.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 04/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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