612 WTNT24 KNHC 140233 TCMAT4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINETEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024 0300 UTC THU NOV 14 2024 POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 80.2W AT 14/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 80.2W AT 14/0300Z AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 79.7W FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.1N 82.1W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.2N 83.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.3N 84.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.2N 85.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.0N 85.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 10SE 10SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.9N 85.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 10SE 10SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 16.6N 86.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 10SE 10SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 19.3N 89.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 80.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 14/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION