DAVE STANN: Trump’s victory is a cautiously optimistic sign for crypto


As the dust settles on the 2024 election, the cryptocurrency community is abuzz with excitement over the potential implications of a Trump victory for the industry. Markets are already pumping to new all time highs on the expectation that Trump will make good on his promises to build a US strategic bitcoin reserve and appoint a dedicated “crypto czar” tasked with building a safe harbor regulatory framework for US crypto businesses. But perhaps no promise he’s made has received more unbridled enthusiasm than his vow to fire SEC chair Gary Gensler on day one – a promise preemptively fulfilled this week as Gensler announced his resignation effective January 20, 2025.

This effectively spells the end of the SEC’s long-standing war on crypto, as well as the Biden administration’s insidious “Chokepoint 2.0” that has unfairly targeted American crypto businesses with lawfare and financial discrimination for years. In addition, the Trump family’s promotion of decentralized finance protocol World Liberty Financial aligns their interests with those in the industry who have been clamoring for common sense crypto regulatory clarity, instead of the current regulation-by-enforcement approach that has left many companies and investors uncertain about the legal landscape.

Speculation is already rife about who will replace Gensler as the next SEC chair. Crypto purists would love to see this role filled by current SEC member Hester Peirce, who has regularly offered scathing dissents to Gensler’s seemingly never-ending prosecutions and bureaucratic overreach. Other strong contenders include former SEC member Dan Gallagher (currently chief legal and compliance officer at Robinhood) and pro-crypto securities defense attorney Teresa Goody Guillen. Whoever Trump appoints to this role will have a significant impact on the future of crypto regulation in the United States.

However, caveats abound. Just as neocons infiltrated Trump’s first administration (and are currently trying to weasel in to Trump 2.0), crypto enthusiasts are wary of hidden poison pills that could undermine the promise of this new crypto dawn in America. A “bipartisan effort” by Senators Cynthia Lummis, Kristen Gillibrand and “anti-crypto army” Elizabeth Warren continue to try and amend otherwise pro-crypto bills with language that would bolster KYC surveillance and penalize privacy-preserving tools – a potential blow to the very ethos of decentralized finance. Two steps forward, one giant step back.

Moreover, the presence of technocrats in the White House could spell trouble for civil liberties in the United States. With Elon Musk advocating for brain chips and JD Vance financier Peter Thiel’s surveillance network Palantir in the mix, there’s a risk that the pro-crypto stance of the administration could ultimately be a nice distraction from the rise of an unprecedented amount of new digital threats to individual privacy and freedom. Not to mention, the overton window on robot policing is already being normalized by the recent addition of a military robo-dog patrolling Mar-a-Lago. One can imagine how quickly all of these new technologies could be deployed under a future administration to control civilian dissent.

There’s also an interesting narrative swap happening now regarding CBDCs (central bank digital currencies) – essentially, programmable money that can be restricted by the government for wrongthink. Although Trump has rightly campaigned against them, in his final pro-crypto push he is supporting the growth of stablecoins (crypto assets pegged to the dollar). While this may sound like a great way to extend the US dollar’s dominance, many of the largest stablecoins (USDT, USDC) are functionally no different than CBDCs in their inherent ability to be centrally controlled (and programmed) by the issuer. All the more reason to ensure that whatever stablecoins are promoted are inherently decentralized in their design (crvUSD, MIM) and unable to be “turned off” at the behest of the latest authoritarian impulse.

Trump’s victory may indeed signal a turning point for the crypto industry, but it’s essential to remain vigilant and aware of the potential pitfalls that may come with it. As the industry continues to evolve, it’s crucial that we remain vigilant to the principles of decentralization, privacy, and freedom – trusting, but verifying along the way. Only by doing so can we ensure that the future of crypto is one that benefits both individuals and society as a whole, and does not fall prey to the same corrupting forces that have co-opted so many other critical technologies.

 

This Story originally came from humanevents.com

 


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Ukraine Vows To Reject Any Alternative To NATO Membership

Ukraine Vows To Reject Any Alternative To NATO Membership

A new Ukrainian government statement has made clear the country will reject any alternative to NATO membership if it is proposed as part of a peace plan with Moscow.

Reports of President-elect Trump’s peace plan say it hinges on security guarantees while indefinitely postponing Ukraine joining NATO (for at least 20 years). This is precisely what the Zelensky government is now very vocally pushing back against.

A Tuesday statement from the Foreign Ministry asserts, “Having the bitter experience of the Budapest Memorandum behind us, we will not settle for any alternatives, surrogates, or substitutes for Ukraine’s full membership in NATO.”

Source: EFE/EPA

The statement continued by calling upon “the U.S. and Great Britain, which signed the Budapest Memorandum,… France and China, which joined it and all the states participating in the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons” to immediately back Ukraine’s efforts to joint NATO. 

It further suggested that anything less is to fall in line with Russia’s ‘blackmail’. The Budapest Memorandum of 1994 saw Ukraine give up its Soviet-era nuclear weapons arsenal, and in return Moscow provided security guarantees and recognized borders.

The hard-hitting Ukrainian government statement further stressed, “We are convinced that the only real security guarantee for Ukraine, as well as a deterrent factor for further Russian aggression against Ukraine and other states, is only Ukraine’s full membership in NATO.”

Ukraine has representation at a Tuesday through Wednesday meeting of foreign ministers in Brussels. Zelensky has been pushing allies hard to not back down on allowing full NATO membership. He’s even tried to argue that the alliance’s Article 5 self-defense pact doesn’t necessary have to apply to parts of Ukraine occupied by the Russians.

But NATO leaders appear cold to the idea, given the risk of nuclear-armed confrontation with Russia, and given Ukraine’s military is clearly losing the war in the east. NATO chief Rutte has also rejected Zelensky’s plea:

NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte on Tuesday sidestepped questions about Ukraine’s possible membership in the military alliance, saying that the priority now must be to strengthen the country’s hand in any future peace talks with Russia by sending it more weapons.

Rutte’s remarks, ahead of a meeting of NATO foreign ministers, came days after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that extending alliance membership to territory now under Kyiv’s control could end “the hot stage” of the almost 3-year war in Ukraine, where Russian forces are pressing deeper into their western neighbor.

“The front is not moving eastwards. It is slowly moving westwards,” Rutte said. “So we have to make sure that Ukraine gets into a position of strength, and then it should be for the Ukrainian government to decide on the next steps, in terms of opening peace talks and how to conduct them.”

Kiev is also urgently pushing for more anti-air defense weapons systems from partners. This after Russia has stepped up attacks on the country’s energy infrastructure.

“We are talking about an emergency delivery of at least 20 additional Hawk, NASAMS or IRIS-T systems,” Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrey Sibiga said Tuesday in Brussels, as quoted by RBK Ukraine. “This will help us avoid blackouts. We understand that the Russians are trying to undercut our generation capacity.”

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