Tropical Storm Isaac Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT25 KNHC 270237
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102024
0300 UTC FRI SEP 27 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.1N  49.8W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  40SE  50SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.1N  49.8W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.1N  50.3W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 37.1N  47.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 25NE  50SE  40SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 38.1N  44.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  20SE  15SW   0NW.
50 KT... 25NE  50SE  35SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE  80SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 39.5N  40.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  20SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 35NE  50SE  50SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 41.1N  37.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  20SE  15SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...165NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 42.6N  36.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 43.7N  35.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 110SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 46.0N  30.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 50.0N  26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.1N  49.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN


Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION


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