287 WTNT22 KNHC 020238 TCMAT2 HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 0300 UTC WED OCT 02 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 40.8W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT.......170NE 170SE 70SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE 90SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 40.8W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 40.4W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.6N 42.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...170NE 180SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.7N 43.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.8N 45.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.0N 46.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.3N 48.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 24.0N 49.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...190NE 180SE 110SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 28.8N 50.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 110NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 170NW. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 35.3N 46.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 90NW. 34 KT...250NE 260SE 200SW 160NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 40.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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