Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT23 KNHC 090236
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
0300 UTC WED OCT 09 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  47.0W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  47.0W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  46.7W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.7N  48.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.7N  49.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.6N  49.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.8N  49.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 26.6N  49.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  30SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.0N  47.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 33.0N  39.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 35.1N  32.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N  47.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN


Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION


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