Hurricane Rafael Forecast Advisory Number 22

000
WTNT23 KNHC 082032
TCMAT3

HURRICANE RAFAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182024
2100 UTC FRI NOV 08 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  89.7W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..225NE  90SE 150SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  89.7W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  89.4W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.9N  90.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.2N  91.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.5N  91.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.6N  92.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.9N  92.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 23.8N  92.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 22.8N  92.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 21.6N  93.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N  89.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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