000 WTNT35 KNHC 192035
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Hurricane Ernesto Advisory Number 33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, National Hurricane Center Miami FLORIDA AL052024
5:00 P.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME Mon Aug 19 2024
DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS CONTINUING ALONG THE NORTHEAST U.S. COAST AND ATLANTIC CANADA
ERNESTO EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL EARLY TUESDAY
SUMMARY OF 5:00 P.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME 21:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME INFORMATION
LOCATION 43.8 NORTH 56.1 WEST
ABOUT 375 MILES, 605 KILOMETERS EAST, OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
ABOUT 250 MILES, 400 KILOMETERS SOUTHWEST, OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 MILES PER HOUR, 150 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
PRESENT MOVEMENT NORTHEAST, OR 35 DEGREES AT 26 MILES PER HOUR, 43 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MILLIBAR, 28.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
- Interests in southeastern Newfoundland should monitor the progress of Ernesto.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
- At 5:00 P.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (21:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME), the center of Hurricane Ernesto was located near latitude 43.8 North, longitude 56.1 West.
- Ernesto is moving toward the northeast near 26 Miles Per Hour, (43 Kilometers Per Hour).
- An even faster motion to the northeast or east northeast is expected during the next couple of days.
- On the forecast track, the center of Ernesto will pass near southeastern Newfoundland tonight and early Tuesday.
- Maximum sustained winds remain near 90 Miles Per Hour, (150 Kilometers Per Hour) with higher gusts.
- Steady to rapid weakening is forecast, and Ernesto is expected to become a post tropical cyclone early Tuesday.
- Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 Kilometers) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 220 miles (350 Kilometers).
- The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 Millibar, (28.59 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Ernesto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at
hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml
SURF:
- Swells generated by Ernesto are affecting Bermuda, the northeast coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada.
- Life threatening surf and rip current conditions are likely to continue in these areas during the next day or so.
- In southeastern Newfoundland large breaking waves could bring the possibility of coastal flooding, particularly along southwest facing shorelines from Burin east to Avalon regions.
- Please consult products from your local weather office, and stay out of the water if advised by lifeguards.
NEXT ADVISORY
- Next complete advisory at 11:00 P.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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