Hurricane Ernesto Public Advisory
000 WTNT35 KNHC 172031 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Ernesto Advisory Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052024 500 PM AST Sat Aug 17 2024 ...ERNESTO INCHING AWAY FROM BERMUDA BUT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CONTINUE ON THE ISLAND... ...DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS EXPECTED ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.3N 64.0W ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM NE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 1090 MI...1750 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests in southeastern Newfoundland should monitor the progress of Ernesto. A watch may be required for a portion of this area Sunday morning. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ernesto was located near latitude 33.3 North, longitude 64.0 West. Ernesto is moving toward the north-northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this slow motion is expected to continue through tonight. An acceleration toward the north-northeast is forecast to begin on Sunday, with a turn toward the northeast and east-northeast occurring on Monday and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Ernesto will slowly move away from Bermuda through tonight and pass near southeastern Newfoundland late Monday and Monday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. No significant change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Ernesto should remain near or at hurricane strength through Monday. The cyclone will likely become post-tropical near southeastern Newfoundland by Monday night or Tuesday morning. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Ernesto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely to continue on Bermuda through tonight, with hurricane-force gusts possible in rainbands. STORM SURGE: Coastal flooding is still possible on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Ernesto is expected to produce an additional 1 to 2 inches (25 to 50 mm) of rainfall through tonight across Bermuda, with storm total amounts of 7 to 9 inches (175 to 225 mm). This rainfall will likely result in considerable life-threatening flash flooding to the island, especially in low-lying areas. SURF: Swells generated by Ernesto are affecting portions of the Bahamas, Bermuda, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada today. Life-threatening surf and rip current conditions are likely in these areas during the next couple of days. Please consult products from your local weather office, and stay out of the water if advised by lifeguards. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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Hurricane Ernesto Forecast Advisory
000 WTNT25 KNHC 172031 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024 2100 UTC SAT AUG 17 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 64.0W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 80SW 120NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW. 12 FT SEAS..315NE 305SE 270SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 64.0W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 64.2W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 34.3N 63.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 36.5N 62.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 39.5N 60.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 43.0N 57.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 35SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 140SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 46.4N 50.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 180SE 170SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 48.9N 42.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 190SE 170SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.3N 64.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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Hurricane Ernesto Public Advisory
000 WTNT35 KNHC 171746 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Ernesto Intermediate Advisory Number 24A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052024 200 PM AST Sat Aug 17 2024 ...SQUALLY WEATHER STILL AFFECTING BERMUDA AS ERNESTO SLOWS DOWN... ...DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.0N 64.2W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 1110 MI...1790 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Bermuda Weather Service has changed the Hurricane Warning for Bermuda to a Tropical Storm Warning. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests in southeastern Newfoundland should monitor the progress of Ernesto. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ernesto was located near latitude 33.0 North, longitude 64.2 West. Ernesto is moving toward the north-northeast near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through early Sunday. An acceleration toward the north-northeast should begin later on Sunday, with a turn toward the northeast and east-northeast occurring late Monday into Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Ernesto will slowly move away from Bermuda today and pass near southeastern Newfoundland late Monday and Monday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). Bermuda's L.F. Wade International Airport recently reported a sustained wind of 45 mph (72 km/h) and a gust to 62 mph (100 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 974 mb (28.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Ernesto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely to continue on Bermuda through tonight, with hurricane-force gusts possible in rainbands. STORM SURGE: Significant coastal flooding is still possible on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Ernesto is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 9 inches or 150 to 225 mm in Bermuda. This rainfall will likely result in considerable life-threatening flash flooding, especially in low-lying areas on the island. SURF: Swells generated by Ernesto are affecting portions of the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the east coast of the United States and will reach portions of Atlantic Canada today. Life-threatening surf and rip current conditions are likely in these areas during the next couple of days. Please consult products from your local weather office, and stay out of the water if advised by lifeguards. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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Hurricane Ernesto Public Advisory
000
WTNT35 KNHC 171452
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Hurricane Ernesto Advisory Number 24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, National Hurricane Center Miami FLORIDA AL052024
11:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME Sat Aug 17 2024
- HAZARDOUS WEATHER STILL OCCURING ON BERMUDA AS ERNESTO MOVES SLOWLY NORTH NORTHEASTWARD
- DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
SUMMARY OF 11:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME 15:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME INFORMATION
LOCATION 32.9 NORTH 64.4 WEST
ABOUT 50 MILES, 75 KILOMETERS NORTH NORTHEAST, OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1125 MILES, 1805 KILOMETERS SOUTHWEST, OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 MILES PER HOUR, 130 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
PRESENT MOVEMENT NORTH NORTHEAST, OR 25 DEGREES AT 9 MILES PER HOUR, 15 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MILLIBAR, 28.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for
- Bermuda
- A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area.
- Interests in southeastern Newfoundland should monitor the progress of Ernesto.
- For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
- At 11:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (15:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME), the center of Hurricane Ernesto was located near latitude 32.9 North, longitude 64.4 West.
- Ernesto is moving toward the north northeast near 9 Miles Per Hour, (15 Kilometers Per Hour), and this general motion is expected to continue through early Sunday.
- An acceleration toward the north northeast should begin on Sunday, with a turn toward the northeast and east northeast occurring late Monday into Tuesday.
- On the forecast track, the center of Ernesto will slowly move away from Bermuda today and pass near southeastern Newfoundland late Monday and Monday night.
- Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 80 Miles Per Hour, (130 Kilometers Per Hour) with higher gusts.
- Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.
- Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 Kilometers) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 Kilometers).
- An elevated weather station at the National Museum of Bermuda recently reported a sustained wind of 62 Miles Per Hour, (100 Kilometers Per Hour) and a gust to 82 Miles Per Hour, (132 Kilometers Per Hour).
- The estimated minimum central pressure is 974 Millibar, (28.77 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Ernesto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at
hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml
WIND:
- Hurricane force gusts are possible on Bermuda for a few more hours.
- Tropical storm conditions are likely to continue through this evening or tonight.
STORM SURGE:
- Significant coastal flooding is still possible on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds.
- Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
RAINFALL:
- Ernesto is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 9 inches or 150 to 225 milimeter in Bermuda.
- This rainfall will likely result in considerable life threatening flash flooding, especially in low lying areas on the island.
SURF:
- Swells generated by Ernesto are affecting portions of the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the east coast of the United States and will reach portions of Atlantic Canada today.
- Life threatening surf and rip current conditions are likely in these areas during the next couple of days.
- Please consult products from your local weather office, and stay out of the water if advised by lifeguards.
NEXT ADVISORY
- Next intermediate advisory at 2:00 P.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME.
- Next complete advisory at 5:00 P.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME.
$$
Forecaster Berg
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
Stay Updated with news.freeptomaineradio.com’s Daily Newsletter
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Hurricane Ernesto Forecast Advisory
000 WTNT25 KNHC 171452 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024 1500 UTC SAT AUG 17 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 64.4W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT.......120NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT.......200NE 210SE 110SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..320NE 280SE 260SW 280NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 64.4W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 64.5W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 33.7N 63.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 35.3N 63.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 160SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 37.9N 62.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 35SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 41.3N 59.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 35SE 20SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 130SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 44.9N 54.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 180SE 160SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 47.7N 47.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 180SE 180SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 51.2N 27.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 90SE 50SW 0NW. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.9N 64.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 17/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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Current subscribers:
Hurricane Ernesto Public Advisory
000
WTNT35 KNHC 171155
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Hurricane Ernesto Intermediate Advisory Number 23A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, National Hurricane Center Miami FLORIDA AL052024
8:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME Sat Aug 17 2024
- ERNESTO’SOUTH, CENTER BEGINNING TO MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA AND WINDS HAVE PICKED BACK UP ON THE ISLAND
- HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON BERMUDA THROUGH THIS EVENING
SUMMARY OF 8:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME 12:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME INFORMATION
LOCATION 32.6 NORTH 64.6 WEST
ABOUT 15 MILES, 25 KILOMETERS NORTH NORTHEAST, OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 MILES PER HOUR, 140 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
PRESENT MOVEMENT NORTH NORTHEAST, OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 MILES PER HOUR, 15 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MILLIBAR, 28.76 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for
- Bermuda
- A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area.
Interests in Atlantic Canada should monitor the progress of Ernesto. - For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
- At 8:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (12:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME), the center of Hurricane Ernesto was located near latitude 32.6 North, longitude 64.6 West.
Ernesto is moving toward the north northeast near 9 Miles Per Hour, (15 Kilometers Per Hour), and this general motion is expected today.
A faster northeastward motion is then expected late this weekend into early next week.
On the forecast track, the center of Ernesto is expected to slowly depart Bermuda today and move near or east of Newfoundland Monday night.
Maximum sustained winds are near 85 Miles Per Hour, (140 Kilometers Per Hour) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast today.
Some re intensification is possible late in the weekend before weakening begins on Monday.
Ernesto is a large tropical cyclone.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 Kilometers) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 Kilometers).
The estimated minimum central pressure based on dropsonde data is 974 Millibar, (28.76 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Ernesto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at
hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml
WIND:
Hurricane conditions are expected on Bermuda through the next several hours.
Due to Ernesto’s large size and slow motion, strong winds will continue on the island through most of today into this evening.
STORM SURGE:
A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds.
Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
RAINFALL:
Ernesto is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 9 inches or 150 to 225 milimeter on Bermuda.
This rainfall will likely result in considerable life threatening flash flooding, especially in low lying areas on the island.
SURF:
Swells generated by Ernesto are affecting portions of the the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the east coast of the United States.
These swells will likely reach portions of Atlantic Canada today.
Life threatening surf and rip current conditions are likely in these areas during the next couple of days.
Please consult products from your local weather office, and stay out of the water if advised by lifeguards.
NEXT ADVISORY
Next complete advisory at 11:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME.
$$
Forecaster Berg
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
Stay Updated with news.freeptomaineradio.com’s Daily Newsletter
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Hurricane Ernesto Public Advisory
000 WTNT35 KNHC 170855 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Ernesto Advisory Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052024 500 AM AST Sat Aug 17 2024 ...ERNESTO MAKES LANDFALL ON BERMUDA... ...STRONG WINDS, DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON BERMUDA TODAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.3N 64.8W ABOUT 0 MI...0 KM N OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests in Atlantic Canada should monitor the progress of Ernesto. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- Surface observations indicate that Ernesto made landfall on the western side of Bermuda around 430 AM AST (0830 UTC). At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ernesto was located near latitude 32.3 North, longitude 64.8 West. Ernesto is moving toward the north-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion is expected today. A faster northeastward motion is then expected late this weekend into early next week. On the forecast track, the center of Ernesto is expected to slowly depart Bermuda today and move near or east of Newfoundland Monday night. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today. Some re-intensification is possible late in the weekend before weakening begins on Monday. Ernesto is a large tropical cyclone. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm- force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 972 mb (28.71 inches). The National Museum on Bermuda recently reported a central pressure of 972 mb (28.71 mb). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Ernesto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected on Bermuda through the next several hours. Due to Ernesto's large size and slow motion, strong winds will continue on the island through most of today. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Ernesto is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 9 inches or 150 to 225 mm on Bermuda. This rainfall will likely result in considerable life-threatening flash flooding, especially in low-lying areas on the island. SURF: Swells generated by Ernesto are affecting portions of the the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the east coast of the United States. These swells will likely reach portions of Atlantic Canada by tonight. Life-threatening surf and rip current conditions are likely in these areas during the next couple of days. Please consult products from your local weather office, and stay out of the water if advised by lifeguards. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
Stay Updated with news.freeptomaineradio.com’s Daily Newsletter
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Hurricane Ernesto Forecast Advisory
000 WTNT25 KNHC 170855 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024 0900 UTC SAT AUG 17 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 64.8W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 100SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT.......150NE 210SE 110SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 285SE 270SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 64.8W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 65.0W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 33.3N 64.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...160NE 190SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 34.6N 63.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...160NE 190SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 36.6N 62.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 39.8N 61.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 120SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 43.5N 57.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 47.0N 51.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 180SE 170SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 51.5N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 150SE 130SW 0NW. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N 64.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 17/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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Hurricane Ernesto Public Advisory
000 WTNT35 KNHC 170555 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Ernesto Intermediate Advisory Number 22A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052024 200 AM AST Sat Aug 17 2024 ...ERNESTO LASHING BERMUDA WITH STRONG WINDS, DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.0N 65.1W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.70 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ernesto was located near latitude 32.0 North, longitude 65.1 West. Ernesto is moving toward the north-northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h). A gradual slowdown is expected during the next day or so. An accelerating northeastward motion is then expected late this weekend into early next week. On the forecast track, the center of Ernesto is expected to pass near or over Bermuda within a few hours and near or east of Newfoundland Monday night. Maximum sustained winds remain near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Some gradual weakening is forecast over the next day or so, though some re-intensification is possible late in the weekend. Ernesto is a large tropical cyclone. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical- storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km). The L. F. Wade International Airport on Bermuda recently reported sustained winds of 61 mph (98 km/h) with a gust to 84 mph (135 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 972 mb (28.70 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Ernesto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected on Bermuda through the next several hours. Due to Ernesto's large size and slow motion, strong winds will continue on the island through most of today. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Ernesto is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 9 inches or 150 to 225 mm on Bermuda. This rainfall will likely result in considerable life-threatening flash flooding, especially in low-lying areas on the island. SURF: Swells generated by Ernesto are affecting portions of the the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the east coast of the United States. These swells will likely reach portions of Atlantic Canada by tonight. Life-threatening surf and rip current conditions are likely in these areas during the next couple of days. Please consult products from your local weather office, and stay out of the water if advised by lifeguards. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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Hurricane Ernesto Public Advisory
000 WTNT35 KNHC 170231 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Ernesto Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052024 1100 PM AST Fri Aug 16 2024 ...ERNESTO VERY NEAR BERMUDA... ...STRONG WINDS, DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING OCCURRING ON THE ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.4N 65.2W ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ernesto was located near latitude 31.4 North, longitude 65.2 West. Ernesto is moving toward the north-northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h). A gradual slowdown is expected during the next day or so. An accelerating northeastward motion is then expected late this weekend into early next week. On the forecast track, the center of Ernesto is expected to pass near or over Bermuda Saturday morning and near or east of Newfoundland Monday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Some gradual weakening is forecast over the next day or so, though some re-intensification is possible late in the weekend. Ernesto is a large tropical cyclone. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km). The Bermuda International Airport recently reported sustained winds of 52 mph (84 km/h) with a gust to 74 mph (120 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 969 mb (28.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Ernesto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml. WIND: Winds on Bermuda are expected to increase to hurricane force early Saturday. Due to Ernesto's large size and slow motion, strong winds will continue on the island into Saturday night. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Ernesto is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 9 inches or 150 to 225 mm on Bermuda. This rainfall will likely result in considerable life-threatening flash flooding, especially in low-lying areas on the island. SURF: Swells generated by Ernesto are affecting portions of the the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the east coast of the United States. These swells will likely reach portions of Atlantic Canada by late Saturday. Life-threatening surf and rip current conditions are likely in these areas during the next couple of days. Please consult products from your local weather office, and stay out of the water if advised by lifeguards. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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