News Science Weather

Post-Tropical Cyclone Emilia Wind Speed Probabilities


000
FOPZ15 KNHC 090242
PWSEP5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052024               
0300 UTC FRI AUG 09 2024                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

25N 130W       34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

25N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PAPIN                                                    

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA
News Science Weather

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA




POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA


Coastal Watches/Warnings and Forecast Cone for Storm Center


* If the storm is forecast to dissipate within 3 days, the “Full Forecast” and “3 day” graphic will be identical

Click Here for a 5-day Cone Printer Friendly Graphic

How to use the cone graphic (video):

Link to video describing cone graphic

About this product:

This graphic shows an approximate representation of coastal areas under a hurricane warning (red), hurricane watch (pink),
tropical storm warning (blue) and tropical storm watch (yellow). The orange circle indicates the current position of the
center of the tropical cyclone. The black line, when selected, and dots show the National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecast track of the center
at the times indicated. The dot indicating the forecast center location will be black if the cyclone is forecast to be
tropical and will be white with a black outline if the cyclone is forecast to be extratropical. If only an L is displayed,
then the system is forecast to be a remnant low. The letter inside the dot indicates the NHC’s forecast intensity for that time:

D: Tropical Depression – wind speed less than 39 MPH
S: Tropical Storm – wind speed between 39 MPH and 73 MPH
H: Hurricane – wind speed between 74 MPH and 110 MPH
M: Major Hurricane – wind speed greater than 110 MPH

NHC tropical cyclone forecast tracks can be in error. This forecast
uncertainty is conveyed by the track forecast “cone”, the solid white
and stippled white areas in the graphic. The solid white area depicts
the track forecast uncertainty for days 1-3 of the forecast, while the
stippled area depicts the uncertainty on days 4-5. Historical data
indicate that the entire 5-day path of the center of the tropical
cyclone will remain within the cone about 60-70% of the time. To
form the cone, a set of imaginary circles are placed along the
forecast track at the 12, 24, 36, 48, 72, 96, and 120 h positions,
where the size of each circle is set so that it encloses 67% of the
previous five years official forecast errors. The cone is then formed
by smoothly connecting the area swept out by the set of circles.

It is also important to realize that a tropical cyclone is not a point. Their
effects can span many hundreds of miles from the center. The area
experiencing hurricane force (one-minute average wind speeds of at least
74 mph) and tropical storm force (one-minute average wind speeds of
39-73 mph) winds can extend well beyond the white areas shown enclosing
the most likely track area of the center. The distribution of hurricane
and tropical storm force winds in this tropical cyclone can be seen in
the Wind History graphic linked above.

Considering the combined forecast uncertainties in track, intensity, and size, the
chances that any particular location will experience winds of 34 kt (tropical storm force),
50 kt, or 64 kt (hurricane force) from this tropical cyclone are presented in

tabular form for selected locations and forecast positions
. This information is also presented in
graphical form for the 34 kt, 50 kt,
and 64 kt thresholds.

Note:  A detailed definition of the NHC track forecast cone is also available.


Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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News Science Weather

Tropical Depression Debby Public Advisory


723 
WTNT34 KWNH 090242
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Debby Advisory Number  27
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL042024
1100 PM EDT Thu Aug 08 2024

...MAJOR FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN VIRGINIA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.2N 80.2W
ABOUT 80 MI...135 KM NNE OF CHARLOTTE NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 90 MI...140 KM WNW OF RALEIGH NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

Flood Watches and Warnings are in effect for portions of....
* South Carolina
* North Carolina
* Virginia
* Eastern West Virginia
* Maryland
* Pennsylvania

A Flood Watch is in effect for portions of...
* Upstate New York
* Northern Vermont
* Northern New Hampshire

A Tornado Watch is in effect for portions of...
* Eastern North Carolina
* Northern and Eastern Virginia
* Maryland
* District of Columbia
* Eastern West Virginia

Coastal Flood Advisories are in effect for portions of...
* Eastern North Carolina
* Areas surrounding the Chesapeake Bay and Potomac River
* Central New Jersey Coast

A Gale Watch is in effect the coastal waters of...
* Rhode Island
* Southeastern Massachusetts up through Cape Cod

Wind Advisories are in effect for portions of...
* Western Virginia
* Eastern Maryland
* Delaware
* Eastern Pennsylvania
* New Jersey
* Southern New York
* Southern Connecticut


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Debby
was located near latitude 36.2 North, longitude 80.2 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 26 mph (43
km/h) and this motion is expected to slowly increase and shift to 
the northeast over the next day.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. 

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Debby can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Debby is expected to produce an additional 3 to 6 inches
of rainfall with locally higher amounts, across portions of
southeastern North Carolina leading to maximum storm total amounts
as high as 15 inches.  Additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches over
portions of eastern South Carolina will bring maximum storm total
amounts as high as 20 to 25 inches. Considerable flooding is
expected across portions of eastern South Carolina and southeast
North Carolina through Friday.

From central North Carolina northward across portions of Virginia, 3
to 7 inches with local amounts to 10 inches, are expected through
Friday. This rainfall will likely result in areas of considerable to
locally catastrophic flash and urban flooding, especially in the
terrain of western Virginia, with river flooding also possible.

From portions of Maryland north through Upstate New York and
Vermont, 2 to 4 inches, with local amounts to 6 inches, are expected
through Friday night. This will likely result in areas of
considerable flash and urban flooding as well as river flooding.

For the remainder of northern New England, 1 to 3 inches, with
local amounts to 4 inches, are expected into Saturday.  Scattered
instances of flash flooding are possible.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with  Debby, please see the National Weather Service
Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero.  For a list of
rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see
the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS4 with the WMO header ACUS44
KWBC or at the following link:
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc4.html.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes may occur tonight from eastern North
Carolina into Virginia and Maryland. The threat for tornadoes will
shift northward into parts of New Jersey, eastern Pennsylvania and
southeast New York on Friday.

SURF:  Large swells will continue to affect the Southeast and the
Mid Atlantic coast for another day or so. These conditions are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Pereira/Gallina/Chenard


Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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News Science Weather

Tropical Depression Debby Public Advisory


000
WTNT34 KNHC 082031
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Debby Advisory Number  26
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL042024
500 PM EDT Thu Aug 08 2024

...MAJOR FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS AND
WESTERN VIRGINIA...
...FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.1N 80.2W
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM E OF CHARLOTTE NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM WSW OF RALEIGH NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

All Tropical Storm Warnings have been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Debby
was located inland near latitude 35.1 North, longitude 80.2 West. 
The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17
km/h).  A faster northward or north-northeastward motion is 
expected during the next day or two.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of 
days, but Debby is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone on 
Friday.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface 
observations is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Debby can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC.

WIND: Wind gusts to tropical-storm-force could occur for a few more
hours along portions of the North Carolina coast.

STORM SURGE: Coastal flooding is possible in the Cape Fear, Neuse, 
and Pamlico Rivers...1 to 3 ft.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL: Debby is expected to produce an additional 3 to 6 inches 
of rainfall with locally higher amounts, across portions of 
southeastern North Carolina leading to maximum storm total amounts 
as high as 15 inches.  Additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches over 
portions of eastern South Carolina will bring maximum storm total 
amounts as high as 20 to 25 inches. Considerable flooding is 
expected across portions of eastern South Carolina and southeast 
North Carolina through Friday.

From central North Carolina northward across portions of Virginia, 3 
to 7 inches with local amounts to 10 inches, are expected through 
Friday. This rainfall will likely result in areas of considerable to 
locally catastrophic flash and urban flooding, especially in the 
terrain of western Virginia, with river flooding also possible.

From portions of Maryland north through Upstate New York and 
Vermont, 2 to 4 inches, with local amounts to 6 inches, are expected 
through Friday night. This will likely result in areas of 
considerable flash and urban flooding as well as river flooding.

For the remainder of northern New England, 1 to 3 inches, with 
local amounts to 4 inches, are expected into Saturday.  Scattered 
instances of flash flooding are possible.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding 
associated with  Debby, please see the National Weather Service 
Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at 
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk 
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero.  For a list of 
rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see 
the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS4 with the WMO header ACUS44 
KWBC or at the following link:
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc4.html. 

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes may occur through tonight from central
and eastern North Carolina into central and southeast Virginia.  
The threat for tornadoes will shift northward into parts of New 
Jersey and eastern Pennsylvania on Friday.

SURF:  Large swells will continue to affect the Southeast U.S.
coast for another day or so. These conditions are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Debby.  Future information on this system can be 
found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center 
beginning at 1100 PM EDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT4, WMO 
header WTNT34 KWNH, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov.

Rainfall forecasts for the United States can always be found at 
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml 
and outlooks of flash flood risks can be found at 
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php
.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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News Science Weather

Post-Tropical Cyclone Emilia Public Advisory


000
WTPZ35 KNHC 090241
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Emilia Advisory Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052024
800 PM PDT Thu Aug 08 2024

...EMILIA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 125.3W
ABOUT 980 MI...1580 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Emilia 
was located near latitude 22.3 North, longitude 125.3 West. The 
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 
mph (19 km/h) and this general motion with a decrease in forward 
speed and turn westward is expected over the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Additional weakening is forecast, and the post-tropical remnant low 
is expected to dissipate by the end of this weekend.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane 
Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low 
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and 
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php


$$
Forecaster Papin

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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News Science Weather

Post-Tropical Cyclone Emilia Forecast Advisory


769 
WTPZ25 KNHC 090240
TCMEP5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052024
0300 UTC FRI AUG 09 2024

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 125.3W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 125.3W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 124.8W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.9N 127.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.5N 129.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 24.1N 131.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.6N 132.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.8N 134.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 24.7N 136.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 125.3W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW 
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER PAPIN



Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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News

Short Range Forecast Discussion: 3:32 P.M. Eastern Daylight Time Thu Aug 08 2024

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, Weather Prediction Center College Park Maryland

3:32 P.M. Eastern Daylight Time Thu Aug 08 2024
Valid 0:00 Coordinated Universal Time Fri Aug 09 2024 00:00 Coordinated Universal Time Aug 11 2024

  • Debby to begin to accelerate northeastward Thursday night from central North Carolina into the Mid Atlantic, into western to northern New York state Friday and northern New England Friday night Heavy rains, flash and river flooding likely along and to the northeast of the track of Debby
  • Below average temperatures persist across the Northern to Central Plains, Upper to Mid Mississippi Valley
    Above average temperatures continue across the West into the South, but with less record highs compared to previous days
  • Fire weather conditions and poor air quality continue across the Northwest, Great Basin and Northern Rockies
  • Debby continues its slow northwestward track through portions of the Carolinas on Thursday but will begin to accelerate more to the northeast beginning Thursday evening.
  • Continued weakening of Debby forecast as the storm moves farther away from the ocean.
  • However, the heavy rain, flash and river flooding effects will continue over the next two days as the storm begins its northeastward acceleration.
  • With the increased acceleration to the northeast tonight from central North Carolina into the Mid Atlantic, into western to northern New York State Friday and northern New England Friday night, the rainfall totals will likely be not as heavy as amounts the occurred when Debby was slower moving across portions of Florida and the Southeast.
  • Still, with moisture values well above average and likelihood that heavy rainfall amounts of 3 to 5″ plus will be occurring over areas of higher terrain, the threat of life threatening flash floods will continue along and ahead of the track of Debby, along with the lingering effects of the flooding that has already occurred from Florida into Georgia and the Carolinas.
  • Currently flash flood warnings, flood warnings and flood watches stretch across much of South Carolina, North Carolina, northeastward through western Virginia, eastern West Virginia, western Maryland, central Pennsylvania, west central to northern New York State into northern Vermont and northern New Hampshire, affecting nearly 30 million people.
  • The northeast acceleration of Debby is in response to the large scale closed low associated with a strong cold front currently stretching from the Great Lakes, southwestward into the Central to Southern Plains.
  • Below average temperatures in the wake of this strong front already encompass the Northern to Central Plains, Upper to Middle Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes.
  • These below average temperatures will press southward into portions of the Southern Plains Friday and Saturday and eastward into the Ohio Valley, eastern Great Lakes and Tennessee Valley.
  • A few record low maximum temperatures are possible Friday across portions of the Central Plains into the Middle Mississippi Valley and over northern Minnesota.
  • Above average temperatures will continue over the next few days across much of the West into Texas, the South and Gulf Coast.
  • A few record highs still possible across portions of the central to eastern Gulf Coast over the next few days, although the number of overall record highs across the country continue to decrease from previous days.
  • Even with less record high potential, the current heat is resulting in excessive heat warnings and heat advisories across much of Texas, southern Oklahoma, eastward along the Gulf coast, including Florida and over portions of the Pacific Northwest.
  • This is resulting in over 60 millions people affecting by some form of heat warning or advisory.
  • In addition to the heat across portions of the Northwest and West, the dry conditions, low relative humidities and gusty winds will keep a fire weather threat across the Northwest, Great Basin and Northern Rockies into this weekend.
  • Smoke from current fires will also continue to produce poor air quality across these regions.

Oravec

Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php

House Republican Veterans Slam 'Coward' Walz Amid Stolen Valor Accusations
Business Economics Entertainment Gossip News Politics Sports War

House Republican Veterans Slam ‘Coward’ Walz Amid Stolen Valor Accusations

Many Republican veterans who are either in the House of Representatives or are running for the House are blasting Democrat vice presidential candidate Tim Walz amid stolen valor accusations.

Walz, who served 24 years in the National Guard, including the Minnesota National Guard’s 1st Battalion 125th Field Artillery, retired shortly before his unit went to Iraq. He did not see combat, yet, in a video shared by the Harris-Walz campaign, he said that he carried weapons “in war.”

He also faces harsh criticism from Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR) and Republican Vice Presidential Nominee JD Vance for not going to Iraq with his battallion. Cotton, a veteran who did two combat tours in the U.S. Army, says Walz “let his troops go to war” in Iraq “without him.”

The sentiments echo those of two Army command sergeants major who wrote that when Walz retired on May 16, 2005, he left “1-125th Field Artillery Battalion and its Soldiers hanging; without its senior Non-Commissioned Officer, as the battalion prepared for war” in a letter published in the West Central Tribune in 2018.

Walz notably filed to run for Congress in February 2005 before the unit was notified of potential deployment in March 2005. However, the alert came two months before his retirement.

Finally, Walz’s bio implied he retired at the rank of E-9 when he actually retired as an E-8. However, he did serve as an E-9 for a time before leaving as a master sergeant E-8.

Rep. Jim Banks (R-IN), an Afghanistan veteran, ripped Walz on Wednesday as a “fraud” and remarked it is “Crazy that Kamala would pick a running mate who lied about his military service.”

“Either her vetting process led by Eric Holder was very weak or she doesn’t care … or both!” said Banks, the Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Indiana.

Banks also posted a picture of himself from his time deployed in the Army as part of a larger trend on X.

Rep. Brian Mast (R-FL), a veteran bomb disposal expert of the U.S. Army who lost both of his legs to an improvised explosive device, hammered Walz.

“Tim Walz LIED about his rank. He LIED about serving in Afghanistan,” he wrote in a post on X. “And now, according to CNN, Walz LIED about carrying weapons of war in a war zone.”

U.S. Air Force veteran Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-FL), whose husband, also a veteran, was shot in Afghanistan fighting al-Qaeda and received a Bronze Star, blasted Walz for “claiming to be a combat veteran.”

“Today is Purple Heart day and we have a guy who is claiming to be a combat veteran as Harris’ running mate. Disgusting,” she stated on X.

Rep. Mike Waltz (R-FL), a combat-decorated Green Beret, broke down the problems the Democrat vice presidential pick is facing in a 1:35 video posted to X. He focused on both Walz’s rank and his “walking away from his soldiers after they had been called to go to Iraq.”

“I commanded Green Berets,” the Florida congressman emphasized. “Everything that you do prepares you for that moment when you have to lead your men and women into harm’s way. It’s kind of like the quarterback of a big team walking away from their team right before they go to the Super Bowl.”

Another Florida combat veteran, Rep. Cory Mills (R), blasted Walz while speaking with Fox News’s Laura Ingraham on her eponymously-named show The Ingraham Angle. 

“I think it’s very clear when your job as a leader is to continue to try and fight and deploy alongside your troops that the idea of running for politics should be the last thing on your mind,” Mills, an Army veteran who served in Iraq and received a Bronze Star, said.

Rep. Ryan Zinke (R-MT), a retired U.S. Navy SEAL commander, weighed in as well, with criticisms of Walz and Harris. Zinke notably served in Iraq, leading special operations.

“In 2005 Walz abandoned his unit just like Kamala abandoned Americans in Afghanistan and she abandoned our closest allies in Israel,” he wrote.

“Tim Walz didn’t fight for us then. He didn’t fight for Minnesota when she burned in 2020. And he won’t fight for you now,” Zinke said.

Rep. Ronny Jackson (R-TX), a Navy veteran and former physician to multiple U.S. presidents, ripped Walz as a “lying coward.”

“Your ‘war stories’ disgust me and disgust most other veterans that actually deployed in defense of this country!” he wrote, addressing Walz. “SIMPLY PUT, YOU ARE PATHETIC AND A NATIONAL DISGRACE!!!”

Veteran Rep. Derick Van Orden (R-WI), who saw five combat deployments and retired as a Navy SEAL senior chief, called Walz “a coward” as well.

“As the actual longest-serving enlisted member of Congress in the history of our nation, I am disgusted by this and would shun him from any military function,” he wrote.

Rep. Rich McCormick (R-GA), who served in the Marines and Navy with service in combat zones, said, “Georgia’s military community will find it rather repugnant that Walz opted to retire from the National Guard right when he found out his unit was headed to Iraq.”

Laurie Buckhout, a candidate for North Carolina’s First Congressional District and a decorated Army colonel combat veteran, also ripped Walz as a “coward” who “quit” on his unit.

“I understood the full extent of my commitment to this country when I served in the Army for 26 years,” Buckhout wrote in a post on X. “But when @Tim_Walz heard his unit was mobilizing to Iraq…he quit.”

“Walz quit on his unit, his soldiers, and his country. That’s what we can expect from him as VP, too. Coward,” she wrote. 

Originally Posted At www.breitbart.com

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Exclusive—Seamus Bruner: Seven Troubling Tim Walz Connections to Communist China
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Exclusive—Seamus Bruner: Seven Troubling Tim Walz Connections to Communist China

Minnesota Governor and Vice-Presidential hopeful Tim Walz has an abnormal relationship with China.

“No matter how long I live, I will never be treated that well again…it was an excellent experience,” Walz said upon his return from the first of many trips there. Walz claims that his Chinese hosts lavished him with “more gifts than I could bring home.”

Walz and his supporters would like us to believe that his cozy ties to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) are not unusual. In fact, he is “hawkish” and staunch critic of the CCP’s human rights abuses, his media allies say. The Chinese have an expression for the practice of providing cover for the communist regime while issuing the occasional muted critiques: it’s called “big help with a little bad mouth.”

As Breitbart News reported, Walz first visited China in 1989 under the auspices of a now-shuttered Harvard program called WorldTeach. Walz and became so enamored with the country that he and his wife honeymooned there after their marriage on June 4, 1994, the fifth anniversary of the Tiananmen Square massacre. Walz “wanted to have a [wedding anniversary] date he’ll always remember,” according to his wife.

 

The pro-democracy protest movement of students in Tiananmen Square ended in a blood bath during the night of June 3 to June 4, 1989. Between 1,500 to 4,000 demonstrators were killed and 10,000 wounded when the Chinese Communist Party ordered a military crackdown on the protesters, and the People’s Liberation Army rolled their tanks into the square and opened fire on the crowd. The students were demonstrating to demand more democracy and freedom of thought from the Chinese government. (Jacques Langevin/Getty Images)

The pro-democracy protesters watch as the Chinese communist regime’s tanks rolled into Tiananmen Square during the bloody military crackdown of the democracy demonstrations on June 3 to 4, 1989. (Jacques Langevin/Getty Images)

The pro-democracy protesters are seen on Changan Avenue during the CCP’s bloody military crackdown on June 4, 1989, in Tiananmen Square. (Peter Charlesworth/LightRocket via Getty Images)

The pro-democracy protesters are seen after the military crackdown in Tiananmen Square on the night of June 3 to June 4, 1989. (Jacques Langevin/Getty Images)

People transport a wounded woman during the military crackdown in Tiananmen Square on June 3 to 4, 1989. (David Turnley/Getty Images)

Family members try to comfort a grief-stricken mother who just learned that her son was killed during the military crackdown in Tiananmen Square on June 4, 1989. (David Turnley/Getty Images)

A Chinese man stands alone to block a line of tanks heading towards Tiananmen Square on June 5, 1989, one day after the Tiananmen Square massacre. This courageous unknown man became known to the world simply as “Tank Man.” (AP Photo/Jeff Widener)

The Walz newlyweds brought sixty students with them on their honeymoon, kicking off the first of many student exchange trips to the communist country. Walz and his wife set up a company, Education Travel Adventures Inc., to facilitate the trips to China. They ultimately ended up taking more than thirty trips there.

Walz’s last known trip to China was in 2015, but he continues to meet with communist officials and headline CCP-backed events. Walz’s deep and abiding ties to China—including multiple connections to CCP intelligence front organizations—present troubling national security questions about a potential Harris-Walz administration.

Here are Walz’s top seven connections to the CCP that demand explanation.

1. The CCP approved and even subsidized Walz’s student exchanges.

After his first trip to China in 1989, Walz returned to his teaching job in America and hung a “Chinese banner” in his school office. By 1993, Walz was taking American students on visits to China where he told his students to “downplay their American-ness.”

When asked about why he was so interested in China so early on, Walz stated “China was coming, and that’s the reason that I went.” According to U.S. national security expert John Schindler, “no American would be allowed to run academic exchanges for a couple of decades, on the CCP’s dime, without [Ministry of State Security] approval. It just wouldn’t happen.”

Shockingly, Chinese authorities reportedly covered “a large part of the cost” of the 1993 summer trip. The next year, Walz and the Chinese government jointly sponsored scholarships for American students to visit China. Between 1989 and 2003, Walz travelled with hundreds of students to China.

Did Walz or his travel company, Education Travel Adventures Inc., receive any money from the Chinese government? His public financial disclosures do not go back far enough to know.

2. A CCP diplomat and other CCP government officials attended Walz’s gubernatorial inauguration in January 2019.

A translation from a Chinese government source reveals that, “Acting Consul General Liu Jun congratulated Governor Waltz and expressed his expectation to strengthen cooperation with the new Minnesota government to jointly promote the friendly and cooperative relations between Minnesota and China.”

Why were CCP members at the inauguration of a Minnesota governor and would Chinese diplomats congratulate a sincere critic of China’s human rights abuses?

3. The CCP Diplomat left the Walz inauguration to meet with Walz cronies at Minnesota’s premier globalist non-governmental organization (NGO), Minnesota Global.

According the translated Chinese government press release, “Acting Consul General Liu congratulated [Global Minnesota] on the successful holding of the China Theme Year event and said that the Consulate General looks forward to continuing to strengthen communication with [Global Minnesota] in the new year to promote friendly cooperation between Minnesota and China.”

Global Minnesota is close with Walz and has sponsored at least one his foreign trips (to Finland). Last December, Walz awarded a Global Minnesota nominee for a business award.

Global Minnesota is affiliated with globalist entities like the United Nations and frequently invites Walz for speaking engagements (in 2020, 2021, and 2022).

4. Walz has close connections to a Twin Cities-based organization that houses an alleged secret CCP police station—one of only seven secret CCP police stations in the U.S.

In 2022, Minnesota Global partnered with group called the Chinese American Association of Minnesota (CAAM) to send delegations to China.

CAAM has been accused of housing a CCP intelligence agency “Service Center” (which is effectively a secret CCP police station) in Minnesota. The Daily Caller reported:

The Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) United Front Work Department (UFWD) — which at least one U.S. government commission has characterized as a “Chinese intelligence service” — operates so-called “Overseas Chinese Service Centers” (OCSCs) that are housed within various U.S.-based nonprofits. OCSCs were ostensibly set up to promote Chinese culture and assist Chinese citizens living abroad, according to Chinese government records.

In April 2023, the Justice Department busted an alleged CCP Ministry of Public Security outpost, which the DOJ called a “secret police station” used to “monitor and intimidate dissidents” and other critics of Beijing.

Why has Walz failed to shut down this Overseas Chinese Service Center operating out of Minnesota?

5. Then-Congressman Walz praised a CCP-backed event that he attended with CCP diplomats in 2018. 

According the Consulate General of the People’s Republic of China in Chicago, the event Walz attended was “The Greatest Spirit: Embrace China—Beautiful Sichuan” hosted at Minnesota University’s Northrop Theater.

The event was sponsored by the CCP’s All-China Federation of Returned Overseas Chinese (ACFROC). According to the Chinese government website:

US Congressman Waltz commented that 30 years ago, he celebrated Mid-Autumn Festival for the first time in Foshan, Guangdong. As Mid-Autumn Festival stands out in Chinese culture as a special day of family reunion, it was his pleasure to enjoy this performance with everyone together. China and the US have a solid tradition of cultural exchanges, and hopefully both countries can maintain this tradition and amicable relations.

6. Less than one year into his first gubernatorial term, Walz was an honored guest speaker at multiple CCP-backed influence operation events in 2019.

Ten months after his inauguration, Walz accepted a speaking gig from a CCP-backed event, joining the president of the Chinese People’s Association for Friendship with Foreign Countries (CPAFFC) on the short list of speakers.

Walz was invited to “speak about his experiences [in China] and Minnesota’s connections with China.” Walz also was a guest speaker at the U.S. China Peoples Friendship Association convention in 2019 (alongside CPAFFC President Li Xaolin).

The CPAFFC is effectively a CCP “United Front” cutout that is accused of “directly and malignly influencing” state and local politicians in the U.S., according to the State Department. The CCP’s United Front influence operation is specifically tasked with “co-opting and neutralizing threats to the party’s rule and spreading its influence and propaganda overseas.” Beijing view United Front operation “magic weapon” to advance CCP objectives around the world.

Why is Walz so cozy with obvious CCP intelligence operatives and are they paying him for these speeches?

7. Walz has a long history of making outlandishly pro-CCP comments.

Walz has said that “going [to China] was one of the best things I have ever done” and that if the Chinese “had the proper leadership, there are no limits to what they could accomplish.” He claims that his teaching position Macau Polytechnic University “helped develop his knowledge of China’s unique international status.”

In 2011, Walz said he developed “a great admiration for and a close connection with the Chinese people” after teaching there. He indirectly praised the CCP’s brutal police when he said that China had “almost no crime.”

Walz has also claimed the U.S. does not need to have an “adversarial relationship” with China and that “there was no anti-American feeling [in China] whatsoever.”

Notably, Walz’s gentle criticisms often ignore the aspect of the Chinese system responsible for the brutality: communism. And he recently compared socialism to “neighborliness.” Walz seems to view human rights abuses as events that all countries commit from time to time and move on.

On the twentieth anniversary of Tiananmen Square massacre, Walz said that “every nation has its dark periods that it must come to grips with.” And that “this Nation [the US] is no exception.” While this is true, Walz refers to events in American history that happened over a century ago with far less bloodshed.

Meanwhile, the CCP’s ongoing “break their lineage, break their roots” persecution of ethnic minorities in China is rightly characterized as a crime against humanity and even a genocide.

Why does Tim Walz seem to downplay the undeniable bloodshed of communism and socialism?

This is a developing story.

Seamus Bruner is the author of Controligarchs: Exposing the Billionaire Class, Their Secret Deals, and the Globalist Plot to Dominate Your Life and Peter Schweizer’s Head of Research at the Government Accountability Institute. Follow him @SeamusBruner.

Originally Posted At www.breitbart.com

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Harris Refuses to Comment on All Three of Trump's Debate Challenges
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Harris Refuses to Comment on All Three of Trump’s Debate Challenges

Vice President Kamala Harris refused to answer on Thursday whether she accepted former President Donald Trump’s challenge to debate three separate times.

Trump offered on Thursday to debate Harris on September 4 on Fox News, September 10 on NBC News, and September 25 on ABC News.

Harris agreed to debate on September 10 on NBC News but refused to comment on whether she would participate in the other two.

“I am looking forward to debating Donald Trump and we have a date of September 10. I hear he’s finally committed to it and I’m looking forward to it,” she said Thursday in Wayne, Michigan:

Kamala also refused to directly address the allegations against her running mate, Gov. Mike Walz, of “stolen valor. “I praise anyone who has presented themselves to serve their country. And I think that we all should.”

Throughout the week, Republicans widely mocked Harris for failing to hold unscripted media events.

“Excuse me, what are we doing right now? Trump questioned during a Thursday press conference at Mar-a-Lago. “She’s not doing any news conference …  She doesn’t know how to do a news conference. She’s not smart enough to do a news conference.”

Trump’s comments might have irritated Harris and encouraged her to schedule an interview “before the end of the month,” she said Thursday after speaking with her team. It is unclear if the interview will take place in the last three weeks of August or whether the interview’s scheduling will take place before August ends.

“I’ve talked to my team. I want us to get an interview scheduled before the end of the month,” she said when asked when she would sit down for her first interview since entering the presidential race.

Harris failed to give one unscripted press conference since joining the presidential race 18 days ago. A longtime Harris ally told Politico’s West Wing Playbook on Wednesday that she may continue to avoid the press until Labor Day, 25 days away.

Harris might not be partial to unscripted events for two reasons. First, she has a habit of delivering silly word salads. Second, she appears to be trying navigate policy debates within her own party. Anonymous campaign aides reportedly flipped flopped on five of her radical-left policies.

More is here on Harris’s radical record.

Wendell Husebo is a political reporter with Breitbart News and a former RNC War Room Analyst. He is the author of Politics of Slave Morality. Follow Wendell on “X” @WendellHusebø or on Truth Social @WendellHusebo.

Originally Posted At www.breitbart.com

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