Originally Posted At WDW Pro YouTube Channel
“Among other things, a diverse group of employees helps bring originality and creativity to our merchandise offerings, promoting the ‘treasure hunt’ that our customers value,” Costco said in a proxy statement to investors.
US President-elect Donald Trump on Friday denounced a judge’s decision to set a sentencing date in his hush money trial before his January 20 inauguration as an “illegitimate political attack.” “This illegitimate political attack is nothing but a Rigged Charade,” Trump wrote on his Truth Social page, after Judge Juan Merchan earlier Friday upheld Trump’s […]
The post Trump dismisses upcoming sentencing in hush money case as ‘illegitimate political attack’ appeared first on Insider Paper.
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The Grinch showed up this year at the nation’s deposit insurer suspending bonuses for senior officials at the FDIC. Bank Regulators have been behaving like frat boys for at least the last couple years according to an internal investigation performed by Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton and released to the Wall Street Journal. Investigators spoke … Read more
Goldman Sees “Significant Risks” EU NatGas Prices Rally Higher Amid European Cold Snap
Samantha Dart, co-head of global commodities research at Goldman Sachs, said colder-than-average weather across the EU “is a stronger driver” than the halt in Russian NatGas exports via Soviet-era pipelines running through Ukraine, which will, in turn, pressure EU NatGas prices higher. By Friday, EU NatGas prices reached levels not seen in over a year, exceeding 50 EUR/MWh.
No other country in Northern Europe grinds to a halt like the British state does in reaction to a bit of cold weather. pic.twitter.com/IizvpxuFkv
— Wolf 🐺 (@WorldByWolf) January 3, 2025
“While this week’s key headline in natural gas has been the halt in the residual Russian gas flows through Ukraine, the main tightening driver of NW European gas fundamentals this winter is in our view colder-than-average weather currently forecast for the next two weeks, aided by low wind power and Norwegian production outages observed in December,” Dart said.
She continued: “If this cold forecast realizes without other offsets, we see significant risks that TTF prices rally towards oil-switching economics in a 63-84 EUR/MWh range in the coming months, well above our 40 EUR/MWh 2025 TTF base case under average weather, to help manage European gas storage.”
The latest data from Bloomberg shows that EU Natgas storage is 71.8% full at the start of the new year—this is well below the 16-year average of 74.29% for the same point in time. This indicates that increased heating demand and tightening supplies will force the continent to draw down supplies at the quickest rate in four years.
Here’s more from Dart’s note:
NW European tightening from Ukraine flow halt modest so far… We estimate that the halt in Russian gas flows from 42 mcm/d to zero from January 1st, which had been our base case and largely market consensus, represents a net tightening to NW Europe gas balances in the order of 16 mcm/d (2.7% of our 2025 expected demand in the region). To be clear, while NW Europe was not receiving any of that gas, we expect Austria to rely on pipeline imports from Germany to cover its gas demand1 and potentially additional marginal flows to complement Slovakia’s needs. Preliminary data for January 1st show German gas exports to Austria up by 9 mcm/d on the day.
…especially when compared to significantly colder-than-average weather forecasts. A more significant and surprising tightening driver of January gas balances are the much-colder-than-average temperatures currently forecast for NW Europe for the next two weeks, over 4°C below the ten-year average. If realized, we estimate such low temperatures would lift NW European gas demand by more than 100 mcm/d in January.
Stock-out risks are low, but storage refill, a challenge. To be clear, we see risks of an inventory stock-out as very low, even under such a cold weather forecast. The main challenge for Europe is that the lower that end-March storage levels are, the harder it will be for the region to refill ahead of the next winter. Specifically, under the colder-than-average scenario that is currently forecast, and assuming no offsets elsewhere in the balance, we would estimate end-Mar25 inventory levels to drop to 30% full (vs 35% under average weather). This would imply end-Oct25 storage levels in the low 80s% (vs high 80s% under average weather), well below the 90% full EU requirement. More specifically, we estimate this scenario would create a 21 mcm/d deficit in the market during the 2025 summer (relative to the 90% full EU storage target).
Higher energy prices in the EU, particularly in Germany—the continent’s economic powerhouse—add to the continued headwinds crushing the country’s all-important automotive industry into a devastating downturn.
On the bright side, at least for the US, the EU will be forced to replace Russian LNG with US LNG during the Trump 2.0 era. Dart noted last month that this is “theoretically” possible.
Tyler Durden
Sat, 01/04/2025 – 07:35
by Josh Hammer, Townhall: As woke illiberalism replaced live-and-let-live liberalism as the animating ideology of the American Left, the state of Israel has increasingly found itself on the outs. Never mind that modern Israel was founded by, and for three decades politically dominated by, a bunch of left-wing socialists. Never mind that Harry Truman, an […]
Russia said on Saturday it had shot down eight US-supplied ATACMS missiles, whose use Moscow has warned could spark a hypersonic ballistic missile attack on central Kyiv. ATACMS missiles have a maximum range of 190 miles (300 kilometres) according to publicly available data. “Air defence systems downed eight ATACMS US-made missiles and 72 drones,” the […]
The post Russia says downed 8 US-supplied ATACMS missiles appeared first on Insider Paper.
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