Issued at 0300 UTC TUE AUG 20 2024
Category: Weather
‘British Bill Gates’ feared dead after super yacht sinks in Mediterranean
British technology tycoon Mike Lynch – known as the “British Bill Gates” of Britain — is missing at seas after a reported tornado struck his superyacht off the coast of Sicily, the Independent reports.
Ukraine, Russia were ‘heading for partial ceasefire talks’ in Qatar ahead of new offensive, energy infrastructure attacks
Ukraine, Russia ‘heading for partial ceasefire talks’ in Qatar ahead of new offensive, energy infrastructure attacks
Tropical Storm Gilma Forecast Discussion
Issued at 200 PM PDT Mon Aug 19 2024
000 WTPZ42 KNHC 192041 TCDEP2 Tropical Storm Gilma Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072024 200 PM PDT Mon Aug 19 2024 ASCAT data valid at 1644 UTC showed that Gilma has strengthened slightly and its wind field has grown a little. While the tropical storm is still sheared, maximum winds measured by the ASCAT were between 40 and 45 kt, which after accounting for undersampling supports an intensity around 50 kt. An average of the most recent Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB also yields 50 kt, so that is the intensity estimate for this advisory. The maximum extent of 34 kt winds is estimated to be around 70 n mi based on the ASCAT data, mostly to the southwest in the deep convection. Although the track forecast spread in the model guidance remains unusually high, not much change was made to the NHC forecast, except to show a slightly faster forward motion in 24-48 h. Otherwise, Gilma is still expected to slow down and turn west-northwestward within the next day as the ridge currently steering the storm is gradually eroded by a deep-layer trough off the U.S. west coast. There is still quite a bit of difference between the models in the forward speed of Gilma, so the NHC forecast closely follows the consensus throughout the forecast. Only small adjustments were made to the intensity forecast. Gilma should remain sheared for another day or so, limiting the potential for strengthening during that period. After that, the shear should decrease and Gilma should strengthen. Most models continue to indicate that Gilma will approach hurricane strength later this week. The NHC intensity forecast remains very close to the various intensity consensus aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/2100Z 15.1N 116.9W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 20/0600Z 15.5N 118.2W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 20/1800Z 16.2N 120.0W 55 KT 65 MPH 36H 21/0600Z 16.7N 122.0W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 21/1800Z 17.2N 123.6W 60 KT 70 MPH 60H 22/0600Z 17.8N 124.7W 70 KT 80 MPH 72H 22/1800Z 18.3N 126.0W 75 KT 85 MPH 96H 23/1800Z 19.0N 127.5W 75 KT 85 MPH 120H 24/1800Z 20.0N 130.0W 65 KT 75 MPH $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Tropical Storm Gilma Public Advisory
…GILMA STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE…
As of 2:00 PM PDT Mon Aug 19
the center of Gilma was located near 15.1, -116.9
with movement W at 13 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 999 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
Tropical Storm Gilma Wind Speed Probabilities
Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 19 2024
Tropical Storm Gilma Forecast Advisory
Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 19 2024
Hurricane Ernesto Forecast Discussion
Issued at 500 PM AST Mon Aug 19 2024
Hurricane Ernesto Public Advisory
…DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS CONTINUING ALONG THE NORTHEAST U.S. COAST AND ATLANTIC CANADA… …ERNESTO EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL EARLY TUESDAY…
As of 5:00 PM AST Mon Aug 19
the center of Ernesto was located near 43.8, -56.1
with movement NE at 26 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 968 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 90 mph.
Hurricane Ernesto Wind Speed Probabilities
Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 19 2024