Tropical Storm Gilma Forecast Advisory
850 WTPZ22 KNHC 190841 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072024 0900 UTC MON AUG 19 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 114.6W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 114.6W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 114.1W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.2N 116.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.5N 118.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.0N 119.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.7N 121.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.3N 122.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.8N 123.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 18.6N 125.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 19.5N 128.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 114.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN/PASCH
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Hurricane Ernesto Forecast Advisory
849 WTNT25 KNHC 190841 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024 0900 UTC MON AUG 19 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 60.5W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......160NE 190SE 110SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 240SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 60.5W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 61.1W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 42.7N 57.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 35SE 25SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 120SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 46.3N 51.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 35SE 25SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 70SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 180SE 150SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 49.0N 41.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 170SE 170SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 50.8N 30.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 170SE 170SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 53.0N 19.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 170SE 130SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.2N 60.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Storm Gilma Forecast Discussion
000 WTPZ42 KNHC 190240 TCDEP2 Tropical Storm Gilma Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072024 800 PM MST Sun Aug 18 2024 Gilma continues to battle easterly shear this evening. Deep convection has been regularly pulsing near the center and then pulled off toward the western side of the circulation. Subjective Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB were T3.0/45 kt and T2.0/30 kt, respectively. Objective intensity estimates range from 30 to 38 kt. The initial intensity is held at 35 kt, representing a blend of the various estimates. Strong-to-moderate deep vertical wind shear is forecast to persist for the next day or two. Global models vary when the shear will relax, but sometime on Tuesday or Wednesday Gilma should be in a more conducive environment and gradually strengthen. By the end of the forecast period, the storm is expected to move into a drier airmass with increasing upper-level winds, which should induce gradual weakening. The latest intensity forecast is very similar to the previous prediction, slightly higher than the various consensus aids. Gilma is moving westward along the south side of a mid-level ridge at 280/11 kt. A westward to west-northwestward motion should continue for the next couple of days. By Wednesday, Gilma is expected to slow down and turn more northwestward when a trough off of the west coast of the United States erodes the ridge. There is quite a bit of model spread during this period, with the GFS showing a slower forward speed and a more poleward turn compared to some of the regional models which stay farther to the south and move faster. The official track forecast lies near the simple consensus aids and is slightly south of the previous track through 60 h and a little to the north afterwards. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/0300Z 14.8N 113.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 19/1200Z 15.2N 115.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 20/0000Z 15.5N 117.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 20/1200Z 15.8N 119.2W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 21/0000Z 16.3N 120.7W 50 KT 60 MPH 60H 21/1200Z 17.1N 122.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 72H 22/0000Z 17.5N 123.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 23/0000Z 18.3N 125.5W 70 KT 80 MPH 120H 24/0000Z 19.1N 127.8W 65 KT 75 MPH $$ Forecaster Bucci
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Tropical Storm Gilma Public Advisory
000 WTPZ32 KNHC 190240 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Gilma Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072024 800 PM MST Sun Aug 18 2024 ...GILMA HEADING WESTWARD AND HOLDING STEADY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.8N 113.5W ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gilma was located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 113.5 West. Gilma is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). A slightly slower westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. Gilma is forecast to remain well away from land throughout the week. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is expected during the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Bucci
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Tropical Storm Gilma Forecast Advisory
000 WTPZ22 KNHC 190240 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072024 0300 UTC MON AUG 19 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 113.5W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 113.5W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 113.0W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.2N 115.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.5N 117.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.8N 119.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.3N 120.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.1N 122.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.5N 123.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 18.3N 125.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 19.1N 127.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 113.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI
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At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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Tropical Storm Gilma Wind Speed Probabilities
000
FOPZ12 KNHC 190240
PWSEP2
TROPICAL STORM GILMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072024
0300 UTC MON AUG 19 2024
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 115W 34 48 2(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
15N 115W 50 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
15N 120W 34 X 2( 2) 14(16) 12(28) 2(30) 1(31) X(31)
15N 120W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
20N 120W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) X(10)
15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13) 1(14)
20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 28(40) 7(47)
20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14)
20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22)
20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI
Originally Posted at:
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At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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Hurricane Ernesto Forecast Discussion
213 WTNT45 KNHC 190234 TCDAT5 Hurricane Ernesto Discussion Number 30 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052024 1100 PM AST Sun Aug 18 2024 Ernesto continues to have a good structure this evening with a partly cloud-filled eye surrounded by bands of convection, although the convective cloud tops are not quite as cold as they were 6 h ago. Subjective Dvorak intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB are now near 65 kt, while various objective estimates are now near 75 kt. The initial intensity is increased to 70 kt based on a blend of these data. Some additional strengthening is possible during the next 6-12 h before Ernesto moves north of the north wall of the Gulf Stream. After that, the system should quickly decay as it moves over colder water and encounters increasing southwesterly shear. The cyclone should become an extratropical low by 36 h as it passes south of southeastern Newfoundland, and by 72 h it should be absorbed into a larger non-tropical low developing south of Iceland. The new intensity forecast is near the upper edge of the intensity guidance for the first 12 h, and after that lies near the intensity consensus. The initial motion is now 030/17 kt. A northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected over the next 24-36 h as Ernesto becomes caught up in the flow between a large deep-layer trough over the eastern U.S. and a subtropical ridge centered to the hurricane's southeast. This motion should bring the center south of southeastern Newfoundland late Monday night or early Tuesday morning, with most of the wind field staying offshore. A more east-northeastward motion is expected thereafter before the cyclone becomes absorbed by the aforementioned larger extratropical cyclone. The tightly clustered track guidance has shifted a little to the north since the last advisory, so the new track forecast is a little north of the previous track. Key Messages: 1. Even though Ernesto is forecast to remain well offshore of the U.S. East Coast, swells generated by the hurricane will continue to affect the area through the early part of this week. Beach goers should be aware that there is a significant risk of life-threatening surf and rip currents, and should stay out of the water if advised by lifeguards. Surf and rip currents are also possible on the Bahamas, Bermuda, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. 2. Ernesto could bring wind, wave, and rain impacts to portions of southeastern Newfoundland Monday night into Tuesday morning. Breaking waves could bring the possibility of coastal flooding, particularly along southwest-facing shorelines from Bunin east to Avalon regions. For additional impact specific information, please see statements issued by the Canadian Hurricane Centre. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/0300Z 38.5N 61.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 12H 19/1200Z 40.9N 59.3W 75 KT 85 MPH 24H 20/0000Z 44.3N 54.3W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 20/1200Z 47.4N 46.6W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 21/0000Z 50.0N 35.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 21/1200Z 52.5N 24.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
Originally Posted at:
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At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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Hurricane Ernesto Public Advisory
000
WTNT35 KNHC 190233
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Hurricane Ernesto Advisory Number 30
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, National Hurricane Center Miami FLORIDA AL052024
11:00 P.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME Sun Aug 18 2024
- ERNESTO STRENGTHENS A LITTLE
- DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS OCCURING ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST AND ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK
SUMMARY OF 11:00 P.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME 03:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME INFORMATION
LOCATION 38.5 NORTH 61.4 WEST
ABOUT 435 MILES, 700 KILOMETERS SOUTH SOUTHEAST, OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
ABOUT 705 MILES, 1135 KILOMETERS SOUTHWEST, OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 MILES PER HOUR, 130 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
PRESENT MOVEMENT NORTH NORTHEAST, OR 30 DEGREES AT 20 MILES PER HOUR, 31 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MILLIBAR, 28.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
- Interests in southeastern Newfoundland should monitor the progress of Ernesto.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
- At 11:00 P.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (03:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME), the center of Hurricane Ernesto was located near latitude 38.5 North, longitude 61.4 West.
- Ernesto is moving toward the north northeast near 20 Miles Per Hour, (31 Kilometers Per Hour), and this motion with some increase in forward speed is expected tonight.
- A turn toward the northeast and east northeast and an additional increase in forward speed are expected on Monday and Tuesday.
- On the forecast track, the center of Ernesto will pass near southeastern Newfoundland late Monday into Tuesday morning.
- Maximum sustained winds are near 80 Miles Per Hour, (130 Kilometers Per Hour) with higher gusts.
- Some additional strengthening is possible tonight.
- After that, Ernesto should weaken, and the cyclone is forecast to become post tropical on Tuesday.
- Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 Kilometers) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 220 miles (350 Kilometers).
- The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 Millibar, (28.80 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Ernesto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at
hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml
SURF:
- Swells generated by Ernesto are affecting portions of the Bahamas, Bermuda, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada.
- Life threatening surf and rip current conditions are likely to continue in these areas during the next couple of days.
- In southeastern Newfoundland large breaking waves could bring the possibility of coastal flooding, particularly along southwest facing shorelines from Burin east to Avalon regions.
- Please consult products from your local weather office, and stay out of the water if advised by lifeguards.
NEXT ADVISORY
- Next complete advisory at 5:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Originally Posted at:
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At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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Hurricane Ernesto Forecast Advisory
000 WTNT25 KNHC 190233 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024 0300 UTC MON AUG 19 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 61.4W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......160NE 190SE 110SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 210SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 61.4W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 62.0W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 40.9N 59.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 35SE 25SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 110SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 44.3N 54.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 35SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 70SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 170SE 130SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 47.4N 46.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 170SE 150SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 50.0N 35.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 170SE 170SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 52.5N 24.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 170SE 130SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N 61.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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STEPHEN DAVIS: Camping World retailer refuses to remove American flag from property after being ordered by CA county to do so
Camping World, a major RV retailer, is standing firm after being ordered by a Northern California county to remove a large American flag from its property.
The Camping World dealership in San Joaquin County flies a massive American flag, just like its 250 other locations across the U.S. However, in April, the county ordered the dealership to take down the flag, citing safety concerns and the lack of proper permits.
“Camping World’s flagpole was installed with neither a building permit nor planning approval, therefore they are in conversation with the code enforcement division,” the county claimed in a statement to Fox40.
Despite concerns about the flag’s proximity to a highway and potential hazards, Camping World CEO Marcus Lemonis instructed the location to reinstall the flag last week.
“If we felt like we were putting people in danger or causing any issues with air traffic, which would absolutely not be OK, then I wouldn’t do it,” Lemonis said.
Lemonis emphasized that the flagpole is securely anchored and poses no safety risk. He also stated that if the issue had involved any other flag, he would have no problem taking it down until a permit was obtained. However, because it is the American flag, he feels a strong obligation to keep it flying.
“It’s symbolism about how we feel about this country. We have a lot of veterans who work for us, and a lot of veterans who shop with us,” Lemonis explained. “I happen to be an immigrant. I was given the blessing of being able to enter this country and become a citizen, and I’m grateful for it. It’s been part of my life since I was a little child down in Miami, Florida, where we had the largest flag pole in Miami at our car dealership.”
The county noted that the flagpole exceeded the maximum height allowed without a permit but later clarified that they never explicitly ordered Camping World to remove the flag. After the story gained public attention, the county stated they would issue a permit following a review.
This piece first appeared at TPUSA.
This Story originally came from humanevents.com
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