Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT23 KNHC 060245
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
0300 UTC SUN OCT 06 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  36.9W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  36.9W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  36.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 13.2N  37.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 14.4N  39.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.5N  40.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.8N  42.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.2N  44.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.5N  46.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 21.7N  49.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 23.4N  51.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N  36.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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