000 WTPZ22 KNHC 212042 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024 2100 UTC MON OCT 21 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 102.0W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 102.0W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 101.4W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 13.5N 104.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.9N 107.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.1N 110.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.1N 113.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.0N 117.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.0N 120.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 55NE 45SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 15.7N 126.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 65NE 55SE 45SW 65NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 110NW. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 19.0N 130.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 45SW 55NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 102.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z $$ FORECASTER DELGADO/PAPIN
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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