…HONE MOVING AWAY FROM THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS…
As of 11:00 AM HST Mon Aug 26
the center of Hone was located near 19.2, -161.6
with movement W at 13 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 998 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.
Author: NHC
Hurricane Gilma Forecast Discussion
Issued at 1100 AM HST Mon Aug 26 2024
Hurricane Gilma Forecast Advisory
Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 26 2024
642 WTPZ22 KNHC 262036 TCMEP2 HURRICANE GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072024 2100 UTC MON AUG 26 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 137.4W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 60SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 137.4W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 136.9W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.5N 138.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.7N 140.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.9N 143.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.4N 145.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.9N 147.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.3N 149.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 21.2N 154.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 22.8N 158.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 137.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN/PASCH
Tropical Storm Hector Public Advisory
…HECTOR MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY…
As of 11:00 AM HST Mon Aug 26
the center of Hector was located near 16.5, -125.8
with movement WNW at 10 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Tropical Storm Hone Forecast Advisory
Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 26 2024
Hurricane Gilma Forecast Discussion
Issued at 500 AM HST Mon Aug 26 2024
Hurricane Gilma Public Advisory
…GILMA SLIGHTLY STRONGER…
As of 5:00 AM HST Mon Aug 26
the center of Gilma was located near 18.2, -136.5
with movement W at 8 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 974 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 105 mph.
Hurricane Gilma Forecast Advisory
Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 26 2024
000 WTPZ22 KNHC 261453 TCMEP2 HURRICANE GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072024 1500 UTC MON AUG 26 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 136.5W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 60SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 136.5W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 136.1W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.3N 137.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.5N 139.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.7N 141.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.0N 144.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.5N 146.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.9N 148.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 20.8N 152.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 21.8N 156.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 136.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN/PASCH
Tropical Storm Hone Forecast Discussion
Issued at 500 AM HST Mon Aug 26 2024
000 WTPA41 PHFO 261445 TCDCP1 Tropical Storm Hone Discussion Number 17 NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012024 500 AM HST Mon Aug 26 2024 Moderate westerly shear is continuing to take a toll on Hone. The low level circulation appears to be partly exposed and the center is likely near the western edge of an earlier burst of convection. PHFO and JTWC subjective intensities were 3.5, which agrees well with UW-CIMSS SATCON and AiDT. The initial intensity was lowered to 55 kt with this advisory. Hone continues to move just north of due west, 280/11, to the south of deep layer ridging. This general motion should persist for the next several days and the track guidance is still relatively tightly clustered. The current forecast is very similar to the previous forecast track. Although Hone will be moving over warmer sea surface temperatures, increasingly strong shear through the forecast period will continue to gradually weaken the tropical cyclone. Later in the forecast period, the low level trade wind flow will continue to take the shallow circulation of Hone on a westward journey. Most of the guidance shows a slightly slower forward speed prior to expected dissipation. The intensity forecast continues to be a blend of the statistical and dynamical guidance, and very similar to the previous forecast package. Hone should become a remnant low in about 4 days prior to dissipation as it approaches the International Date Line. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/1500Z 19.4N 161.0W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 27/0000Z 19.5N 162.9W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 27/1200Z 19.6N 165.2W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 28/0000Z 19.9N 167.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 28/1200Z 20.3N 169.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 60H 29/0000Z 20.7N 172.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 72H 29/1200Z 21.1N 174.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 96H 30/1200Z 21.7N 178.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster R Ballard
Tropical Storm Hone Wind Speed Probabilities
Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 26 2024