Month: January 2025

S&P Futures are displaying positive gains this morning. The key economic event overnight was the China GDP reading which showed +5% expansion for 2024. RIVN said it closed on a loan agreement with the DOE. Starboard Value has taken a 7.7% stake in QRVO. Monday is a holiday as Trump takes office. President Trump is expected to announce a host of Executive Orders on Monday related to tariffs on China, Canada and Mexico, Immigration deportations and Bitcoin. Housing starts data is out this morning as 30 yr fixed rates average 7.37%. European shares are showing strong gains due to China data and expectations for rate cuts. Oil prices are higher and on track for a 2% weekly gain.

S&P Futures are trading lower this morning as markets react to rising Treasury bond yields and rising inflation expectations. The market is not pricing in less than 25 basis points in rate cuts for 2025. Markets will be paying close attention to the pending PPI and CPI reports due out this week. Also in focus will be a host of key earnings reports as Earning Season gets underway. The Biden Administration released their new AI chip export restrictions this morning. China’s exports came in extremely strong which will be a source of contention for the Trump Administration. European shares are falling this morning and oil prices continue to display strong gains in the pre-market.

S&P Futures are trading lower this morning as markets await this morning Non-Farms Payrolls report. Two Fed officials spoke on Thursday and gave indications that the Fed’s rate policy is near neutral. St. Louis Fed’s Musalem also spoke on Thursday and said that the economic outlook appears to be different now than it was four months ago. Insurance stocks are moving lower this morning as California wildfires have destroyed thousands of structures, ALL, TRV & CB most exposed. The Biden Administration is planning another round of restriction on the export of AI chips before Biden leaves office. The Supreme Court is due to hear arguments today on a bipartisan law to ban the video sharing app TikTok. Delta Air delivered an earning beat this morning and forecasts a strong year ahead. European shares are mostly higher this morning and oil prices displaying strong gains this morning in the pre-market.