“We will have to do everything we can to ensure that those who cannot and are not allowed to stay in Germany are repatriated and deported.”
Category: Weather
Gab CEO refuses to comply with German demand to investigate user over comments about ‘fat’ MP
GAB CEO Andrew Torba called it “one of the more ridiculous foreign data requests that Gab received.”
SHEA BRADLEY-FARRELL: Escalation in Ukraine could lead to a nuclear conflict
The further we escalate, the more desperate all leaders will act.
SCOOP: US Attorney has empaneled Grand Jury to consider criminal charges in Trump assassination investigation
“The records that you have requested are within the scope of a grand jury subpoena issued to CCAC by the United States District Court for the Western District of Pennsylvania.”
Tropical Storm Hone Public Advisory
…HONE CONTINUES WESTWARD WELL NORTH OF JOHNSTON ATOLL…
As of 5:00 AM HST Wed Aug 28
the center of Hone was located near 20.5, -168.5
with movement W at 8 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Tropical Storm Gilma Public Advisory
…WEAKENING GILMA EXPECTED TO PASS CLOSE TO HAWAII ON FRIDAY…
As of 5:00 AM HST Wed Aug 28
the center of Gilma was located near 18.8, -145.7
with movement W at 14 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
Tropical Storm Hone Forecast Discussion
Issued at 500 AM HST Wed Aug 28 2024
653 WTPA41 PHFO 281436 TCDCP1 Tropical Storm Hone Discussion Number 25 NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012024 500 AM HST Wed Aug 28 2024 Convection redeveloped over the low-level circulation center (LLCC) of Hone shortly after the previous advisory, then collapsed a couple hours later allowing the LLCC to become exposed once again. It is clear the strong westerly vertical wind shear in excess of 40 knots is impeding any chance for intensification of this system at the moment. The latest subjective Dvorak current intensity estimates remain between 2.5 (35 kt) and 3.5 (55 kt). In addition a 0845Z ASCAT pass showed several 40 to 45 kt wind barbs. As a result, the initial intensity has been held at 45 kt for this advisory. Hone continues to move just north of due west or 280/8 kt. This general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days as the cyclone is steered by a low to mid-level ridge to the north. The motion is a bit more uncertain by the weekend as the system begins to interact with a mid-level low near the International Date Line. The track forecast calls for a slowing in forward speed and a turn toward the northwest as a result of this interaction. Little change was made to the official track forecast which closely follows a blend of the FSSE, TVCE, and HCCA consensus track guidance. Strong westerly vertical wind shear of around 40 kt is forecast to affect Hone during the next few days. This combined with dry mid-level air surrounding the system should result in gradual weakening despite the cyclone moving over increasingly warm sea surface temperatures and higher ocean heat content. The intensity forecast calls for slow weakening of the system, with Hone forecast to become a post-tropical low on Friday, and dissipate by Sunday. Little change was made to the intensity forecast which remains closely aligned with a blend of the statistical and dynamical consensus aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/1500Z 20.5N 168.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 29/0000Z 20.8N 170.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 29/1200Z 21.1N 171.8W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 30/0000Z 21.5N 173.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 30/1200Z 21.9N 175.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 60H 31/0000Z 22.4N 176.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 72H 31/1200Z 23.0N 176.6W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 96H 01/1200Z 25.5N 178.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 120H 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Jelsema
Tropical Storm Gilma Forecast Advisory
Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 28 2024
Tropical Storm Hector Forecast Discussion
Issued at 500 AM HST Wed Aug 28 2024
654 WTPZ43 KNHC 281433 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Hector Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082024 500 AM HST Wed Aug 28 2024 GOES-18 proxy-vis imagery shows that the low-level center of Hector is exposed to the southwest of a large area of deep convection. A 28/1040 UTC ATMS microwave pass also supports the analysis of the exposed center located to the southwest of the convection. An ASCAT-B pass from 28/0608 UTC showed wind vectors up to 38 kt to the north of the center. However, the ASCAT data also shows that the wind structure on the south side is becoming weak and elongated. Although the scatterometer data still shows some weak west winds on the south side, Hector could be close to opening up into a trough. Subjective current intensity estimates are 45 kt from both TAFB and SAB. Objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS are a bit lower, ranging from 35 to 44 kt. The initial intensity is held at 45 kt for this advisory. The center of Hector is becoming a bit more ambiguous as there appears to be a couple of weak swirls, and the best estimate of the motion is westward, or 275/9 kt. The cyclone should continue moving close to due west, steered by a low- to mid-level subtropical ridge to its north. The new NHC forecast is just a tad slower than the previous official forecast and is close to the TVCE consensus aid. Moderate west-southwesterly wind shear has already caused the convective area to be displaced well to the northeast of the center. Given that Hector is expected to continue traveling within an environment of marginal SSTs, dry air, and moderate southwesterly shear, the NHC forecast will continue to show weakening, in agreement with the latest intensity consensus guidance. Simulated satellite imagery from the GFS and ECMWF models suggests that Hector should lose its convection on Thursday, and the official forecast continues to show Hector degenerating to a remnant low at that time. Most of the global models show the remnants of Hector opening up into a trough by Friday. However, given the recent deteriorating surface wind structure observed on ASCAT and GOES-18 proxy vis imagery, it would not be surprising if Hector dissipated sooner than forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/1500Z 18.3N 132.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 29/0000Z 18.4N 134.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 29/1200Z 18.5N 136.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 30/0000Z 18.5N 139.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 30/1200Z 18.4N 142.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Hagen/Reinhart/Konarik
Tropical Storm Hector Wind Speed Probabilities
Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 28 2024